Collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand prediction

Abstract Accurate prediction of vehicle maintenance demands is crucial for sustaining vehicle use, optimizing performance, and minimizing ownership costs. However, current methods only predict maintenance demand for specific vehicle components and lack the capability to offer a comprehensive predict...

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Main Authors: Fanghua Chen, Deguang Shang, Gang Zhou, Ke Ye, Fujie Ren, Guofang Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-04-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-96720-1
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author Fanghua Chen
Deguang Shang
Gang Zhou
Ke Ye
Fujie Ren
Guofang Wu
author_facet Fanghua Chen
Deguang Shang
Gang Zhou
Ke Ye
Fujie Ren
Guofang Wu
author_sort Fanghua Chen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Accurate prediction of vehicle maintenance demands is crucial for sustaining vehicle use, optimizing performance, and minimizing ownership costs. However, current methods only predict maintenance demand for specific vehicle components and lack the capability to offer a comprehensive prediction of all maintenance demands. Furthermore, predicting vehicle maintenance demand must incorporate the impacts of various essential maintenance projects on subsequent demands. To address these challenges, we propose an innovative method for predicting vehicle all maintenance demands based on collaborative multiview time series modeling. Leveraging the interdependencies among vehicle maintenance projects across various time periods, we employ a temporal dependency learning approach utilizing a multi-attention mechanism. To enhance the interaction between distinct time points and temporal dependencies, we developed a dependency-aware learning algorithm that effectively integrates and weighs the information and dependencies at each time step, thereby improving the model’s ability to capture the complex relationships among maintenance projects over time. To capture the significant impact of key maintenance projects on future demands, we propose a module that leverages both long short-term memory networks and the attention mechanism. Experimental results on actual vehicle maintenance records confirm that the proposed model outperforms existing methods, demonstrating its efficacy and applicability in predicting vehicle maintenance demand.
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spelling doaj-art-e6f6620b9dc4455c8a932a928a16cdf22025-08-20T03:18:27ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-04-0115111310.1038/s41598-025-96720-1Collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand predictionFanghua Chen0Deguang Shang1Gang Zhou2Ke Ye3Fujie Ren4Guofang Wu5Automobile Transportation Research Center, Research Institute of Highway Ministry of TransportCollege of Mechanical and Energy Engineering, Beijing University of TechnologyAutomobile Transportation Research Center, Research Institute of Highway Ministry of TransportCollege of Mechanical and Energy Engineering, Beijing University of TechnologyCollege of Mechanical and Energy Engineering, Beijing University of TechnologyAutomobile Transportation Research Center, Research Institute of Highway Ministry of TransportAbstract Accurate prediction of vehicle maintenance demands is crucial for sustaining vehicle use, optimizing performance, and minimizing ownership costs. However, current methods only predict maintenance demand for specific vehicle components and lack the capability to offer a comprehensive prediction of all maintenance demands. Furthermore, predicting vehicle maintenance demand must incorporate the impacts of various essential maintenance projects on subsequent demands. To address these challenges, we propose an innovative method for predicting vehicle all maintenance demands based on collaborative multiview time series modeling. Leveraging the interdependencies among vehicle maintenance projects across various time periods, we employ a temporal dependency learning approach utilizing a multi-attention mechanism. To enhance the interaction between distinct time points and temporal dependencies, we developed a dependency-aware learning algorithm that effectively integrates and weighs the information and dependencies at each time step, thereby improving the model’s ability to capture the complex relationships among maintenance projects over time. To capture the significant impact of key maintenance projects on future demands, we propose a module that leverages both long short-term memory networks and the attention mechanism. Experimental results on actual vehicle maintenance records confirm that the proposed model outperforms existing methods, demonstrating its efficacy and applicability in predicting vehicle maintenance demand.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-96720-1Vehicle maintenanceDemand predictionGated recurrent unitAttention mechanismLong and short-term memory network
spellingShingle Fanghua Chen
Deguang Shang
Gang Zhou
Ke Ye
Fujie Ren
Guofang Wu
Collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand prediction
Scientific Reports
Vehicle maintenance
Demand prediction
Gated recurrent unit
Attention mechanism
Long and short-term memory network
title Collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand prediction
title_full Collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand prediction
title_fullStr Collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand prediction
title_full_unstemmed Collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand prediction
title_short Collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand prediction
title_sort collaborative multiview time series modeling for vehicle maintenance demand prediction
topic Vehicle maintenance
Demand prediction
Gated recurrent unit
Attention mechanism
Long and short-term memory network
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-96720-1
work_keys_str_mv AT fanghuachen collaborativemultiviewtimeseriesmodelingforvehiclemaintenancedemandprediction
AT deguangshang collaborativemultiviewtimeseriesmodelingforvehiclemaintenancedemandprediction
AT gangzhou collaborativemultiviewtimeseriesmodelingforvehiclemaintenancedemandprediction
AT keye collaborativemultiviewtimeseriesmodelingforvehiclemaintenancedemandprediction
AT fujieren collaborativemultiviewtimeseriesmodelingforvehiclemaintenancedemandprediction
AT guofangwu collaborativemultiviewtimeseriesmodelingforvehiclemaintenancedemandprediction