Load Estimation of Complex Power Networks from Transformer Measurements and Forecasted Loads

This paper presents a load estimation method applicable to complex power networks (namely, heavily meshed secondary networks) based on available network transformer measurements. The method consists of three steps: network reduction, load forecasting, and state estimation. The network is first mathe...

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Main Authors: Haina Rong, Francisco de León
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2941809
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author Haina Rong
Francisco de León
author_facet Haina Rong
Francisco de León
author_sort Haina Rong
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents a load estimation method applicable to complex power networks (namely, heavily meshed secondary networks) based on available network transformer measurements. The method consists of three steps: network reduction, load forecasting, and state estimation. The network is first mathematically reduced to the terminals of loads and measurement points. A load forecasting approach based on temperature is proposed to solve the network unobservability. The relationship between outdoor temperature and power consumption is studied. A power-temperature curve, a nonlinear function, is obtained to forecast loads as the temperature varies. An “effective temperature” reflecting complex weather conditions (sun irradiation, humidity, rain, etc.) is introduced to properly consider the effect on the power consumption of cooling and heating devices. State estimation is adopted to compute loads using network transformer measurements and forecasted loads. Experiments conducted on a real secondary network in New York City with 1040 buses verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
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language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-e692e6bd9b9c4d1da18e2771d9caf4912025-02-03T01:04:40ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262020-01-01202010.1155/2020/29418092941809Load Estimation of Complex Power Networks from Transformer Measurements and Forecasted LoadsHaina Rong0Francisco de León1School of Electrical Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, ChinaDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, New York University, Five Metrotech Center, Brooklyn, NY 11201, USAThis paper presents a load estimation method applicable to complex power networks (namely, heavily meshed secondary networks) based on available network transformer measurements. The method consists of three steps: network reduction, load forecasting, and state estimation. The network is first mathematically reduced to the terminals of loads and measurement points. A load forecasting approach based on temperature is proposed to solve the network unobservability. The relationship between outdoor temperature and power consumption is studied. A power-temperature curve, a nonlinear function, is obtained to forecast loads as the temperature varies. An “effective temperature” reflecting complex weather conditions (sun irradiation, humidity, rain, etc.) is introduced to properly consider the effect on the power consumption of cooling and heating devices. State estimation is adopted to compute loads using network transformer measurements and forecasted loads. Experiments conducted on a real secondary network in New York City with 1040 buses verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2941809
spellingShingle Haina Rong
Francisco de León
Load Estimation of Complex Power Networks from Transformer Measurements and Forecasted Loads
Complexity
title Load Estimation of Complex Power Networks from Transformer Measurements and Forecasted Loads
title_full Load Estimation of Complex Power Networks from Transformer Measurements and Forecasted Loads
title_fullStr Load Estimation of Complex Power Networks from Transformer Measurements and Forecasted Loads
title_full_unstemmed Load Estimation of Complex Power Networks from Transformer Measurements and Forecasted Loads
title_short Load Estimation of Complex Power Networks from Transformer Measurements and Forecasted Loads
title_sort load estimation of complex power networks from transformer measurements and forecasted loads
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2941809
work_keys_str_mv AT hainarong loadestimationofcomplexpowernetworksfromtransformermeasurementsandforecastedloads
AT franciscodeleon loadestimationofcomplexpowernetworksfromtransformermeasurementsandforecastedloads