Forest defoliation scenarios

We consider the mathematical model originally created by Ludwig, Jones, and Holling to model the infestation of spruce forests in New Brunswick by the spruce budworm. With biologically plausible parameter values, the dimensionless version of the model contains small parameters derived from the time...

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Main Author: Glenn Ledder
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2006-10-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.15
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author Glenn Ledder
author_facet Glenn Ledder
author_sort Glenn Ledder
collection DOAJ
description We consider the mathematical model originally created by Ludwig, Jones, and Holling to model the infestation of spruce forests in New Brunswick by the spruce budworm. With biologically plausible parameter values, the dimensionless version of the model contains small parameters derived from the time scales of the state variables and smaller parameters derived from the relative importance of different population change mechanisms. The small time-scale parameters introduce a singular perturbation structure to solutions, with one variable changing on a slow time scale and two changing on a fast time scale. The smaller process-scale parameters allow for the existence of equilibria at vastly different orders of magnitude. These changes in scale of the state variables result in fast dynamics not associated with the time scales. For any given set of parameters, the observed dynamics is a mixture of time-scale effects with process-scale effects. We identify and analyze the different scenarios that can occur and indicate the relevant regions in the parameter space corresponding to each.
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spelling doaj-art-e64f0c491f4d4d85907893b5df22b0792025-01-24T01:52:54ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182006-10-0141152810.3934/mbe.2007.4.15Forest defoliation scenariosGlenn Ledder0Department of Mathematics, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE 68588-0130We consider the mathematical model originally created by Ludwig, Jones, and Holling to model the infestation of spruce forests in New Brunswick by the spruce budworm. With biologically plausible parameter values, the dimensionless version of the model contains small parameters derived from the time scales of the state variables and smaller parameters derived from the relative importance of different population change mechanisms. The small time-scale parameters introduce a singular perturbation structure to solutions, with one variable changing on a slow time scale and two changing on a fast time scale. The smaller process-scale parameters allow for the existence of equilibria at vastly different orders of magnitude. These changes in scale of the state variables result in fast dynamics not associated with the time scales. For any given set of parameters, the observed dynamics is a mixture of time-scale effects with process-scale effects. We identify and analyze the different scenarios that can occur and indicate the relevant regions in the parameter space corresponding to each.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.15defoliationsingular perturbationspruce budworm.
spellingShingle Glenn Ledder
Forest defoliation scenarios
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
defoliation
singular perturbation
spruce budworm.
title Forest defoliation scenarios
title_full Forest defoliation scenarios
title_fullStr Forest defoliation scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Forest defoliation scenarios
title_short Forest defoliation scenarios
title_sort forest defoliation scenarios
topic defoliation
singular perturbation
spruce budworm.
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.15
work_keys_str_mv AT glennledder forestdefoliationscenarios