Business cycle in residential construction in Poland 2007–2022

This article explores the dynamic interplay between the business cycle and the housing market in Poland from 2007 to 2022. It examines the complex relationship between economic cycles and the residential property sector, focusing on the impact of government intervention and market fluctuations. The...

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Main Authors: Marek Bryx, Janusz Sobieraj
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Polish Academy of Sciences 2024-12-01
Series:Archives of Civil Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.pan.pl/Content/133445/08_2k.pdf
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author Marek Bryx
Janusz Sobieraj
author_facet Marek Bryx
Janusz Sobieraj
author_sort Marek Bryx
collection DOAJ
description This article explores the dynamic interplay between the business cycle and the housing market in Poland from 2007 to 2022. It examines the complex relationship between economic cycles and the residential property sector, focusing on the impact of government intervention and market fluctuations. The research shows that the housing market is highly sensitive to external factors. It highlights the central role of the National Bank of Poland (NBP) in shaping the housing market through changes in interest rates and credit availability. The COVID-19 pandemic temporarily disrupted developer activity and housing demand, highlighting the vulnerability of the market to unexpected shocks. In addition to observations, this study calls for a critical analysis of housing policies, identifying potential shortcomings and offering recommendations for improvement. It underlines that economic crises are an inherent part of housing market cycles, promoting market cleansing and healthy competition. Finally, this research emphasises that the housing market is intertwined with broader economic trends. It highlights the need for central banks to strike a balance between managing inflation and supporting economic growth. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the relationship between the housing market and the business cycle, providing valuable insights for policymaking and investment decisions.
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spelling doaj-art-e611fe7900174e6abb4cfd4e1c53f31c2025-08-20T01:59:53ZengPolish Academy of SciencesArchives of Civil Engineering1230-29452024-12-01vol. 70No 4113134https://doi.org/10.24425/ace.2024.151883Business cycle in residential construction in Poland 2007–2022Marek Bryx0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0768-4786Janusz Sobieraj1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0819-7384Warsaw School of Economics, Department of Innovative City, Al. Niepodległosci 162, 02-554, Warsaw, PolandWarsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Al. Armii Ludowej 16, 00-637 Warsaw, PolandThis article explores the dynamic interplay between the business cycle and the housing market in Poland from 2007 to 2022. It examines the complex relationship between economic cycles and the residential property sector, focusing on the impact of government intervention and market fluctuations. The research shows that the housing market is highly sensitive to external factors. It highlights the central role of the National Bank of Poland (NBP) in shaping the housing market through changes in interest rates and credit availability. The COVID-19 pandemic temporarily disrupted developer activity and housing demand, highlighting the vulnerability of the market to unexpected shocks. In addition to observations, this study calls for a critical analysis of housing policies, identifying potential shortcomings and offering recommendations for improvement. It underlines that economic crises are an inherent part of housing market cycles, promoting market cleansing and healthy competition. Finally, this research emphasises that the housing market is intertwined with broader economic trends. It highlights the need for central banks to strike a balance between managing inflation and supporting economic growth. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the relationship between the housing market and the business cycle, providing valuable insights for policymaking and investment decisions.https://journals.pan.pl/Content/133445/08_2k.pdfboombusiness cyclehousinghousing market
spellingShingle Marek Bryx
Janusz Sobieraj
Business cycle in residential construction in Poland 2007–2022
Archives of Civil Engineering
boom
business cycle
housing
housing market
title Business cycle in residential construction in Poland 2007–2022
title_full Business cycle in residential construction in Poland 2007–2022
title_fullStr Business cycle in residential construction in Poland 2007–2022
title_full_unstemmed Business cycle in residential construction in Poland 2007–2022
title_short Business cycle in residential construction in Poland 2007–2022
title_sort business cycle in residential construction in poland 2007 2022
topic boom
business cycle
housing
housing market
url https://journals.pan.pl/Content/133445/08_2k.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT marekbryx businesscycleinresidentialconstructioninpoland20072022
AT januszsobieraj businesscycleinresidentialconstructioninpoland20072022