The impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in Xinjiang, China

Abstract Cotton production in Xinjiang is crucial to China’s economy, but the region’s cold climate poses challenges to cultivation. This study analyzes temperature data from 33 meteorological stations in Xinjiang (1981–2020) alongside cotton yield data to assess cold damage during key cotton growth...

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Main Authors: Yongyan Zhao, Yumeng Zhu, Shouli Feng, Ting Zhao, Luyao Wang, Zhihong Zheng, Nijiang Ai, Xueying Guan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:npj Sustainable Agriculture
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s44264-024-00043-z
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author Yongyan Zhao
Yumeng Zhu
Shouli Feng
Ting Zhao
Luyao Wang
Zhihong Zheng
Nijiang Ai
Xueying Guan
author_facet Yongyan Zhao
Yumeng Zhu
Shouli Feng
Ting Zhao
Luyao Wang
Zhihong Zheng
Nijiang Ai
Xueying Guan
author_sort Yongyan Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Cotton production in Xinjiang is crucial to China’s economy, but the region’s cold climate poses challenges to cultivation. This study analyzes temperature data from 33 meteorological stations in Xinjiang (1981–2020) alongside cotton yield data to assess cold damage during key cotton growth stages. A comparison is made with cotton-producing counties in the U.S. southwest (Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma). Results show that Xinjiang has a shorter frost-free period (140–210 days) compared to the U.S. (235–300 days). The Pearson correlation coefficient indicates that spring cold damage (SpCD) during emergence stage significantly impacts yield. SpCD lasts 5–10 days in NXJ, 3–7 days in SXJ, and 3–4 days in the U.S. Severe cold damage, notably in 1996 and 2010, led to a 40% yield decline. To mitigate cold damage, breeding cold-tolerant cotton varieties and developing innovative cultivation technologies are critical for sustaining cotton production in Xinjiang.
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publisher Nature Portfolio
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series npj Sustainable Agriculture
spelling doaj-art-e5971c7fc4a24954871a53facebc34162025-02-02T12:38:05ZengNature Portfolionpj Sustainable Agriculture2731-92022024-12-012111210.1038/s44264-024-00043-zThe impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in Xinjiang, ChinaYongyan Zhao0Yumeng Zhu1Shouli Feng2Ting Zhao3Luyao Wang4Zhihong Zheng5Nijiang Ai6Xueying Guan7Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Crop Genetic Resources, Institute of Crop Science, Plant Precision Breeding Academy, College of Agriculture and Biotechnology, Zhejiang UniversityZhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Crop Genetic Resources, Institute of Crop Science, Plant Precision Breeding Academy, College of Agriculture and Biotechnology, Zhejiang UniversityXianghu LaboratoryZhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Crop Genetic Resources, Institute of Crop Science, Plant Precision Breeding Academy, College of Agriculture and Biotechnology, Zhejiang UniversityHainan Institute of Zhejiang University, Building 11, Yonyou Industrial Park, Yazhou Bay Science and Technology City, Yazhou DistrictShihezi Agricultural Science Research InstituteShihezi Agricultural Science Research InstituteZhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Crop Genetic Resources, Institute of Crop Science, Plant Precision Breeding Academy, College of Agriculture and Biotechnology, Zhejiang UniversityAbstract Cotton production in Xinjiang is crucial to China’s economy, but the region’s cold climate poses challenges to cultivation. This study analyzes temperature data from 33 meteorological stations in Xinjiang (1981–2020) alongside cotton yield data to assess cold damage during key cotton growth stages. A comparison is made with cotton-producing counties in the U.S. southwest (Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma). Results show that Xinjiang has a shorter frost-free period (140–210 days) compared to the U.S. (235–300 days). The Pearson correlation coefficient indicates that spring cold damage (SpCD) during emergence stage significantly impacts yield. SpCD lasts 5–10 days in NXJ, 3–7 days in SXJ, and 3–4 days in the U.S. Severe cold damage, notably in 1996 and 2010, led to a 40% yield decline. To mitigate cold damage, breeding cold-tolerant cotton varieties and developing innovative cultivation technologies are critical for sustaining cotton production in Xinjiang.https://doi.org/10.1038/s44264-024-00043-z
spellingShingle Yongyan Zhao
Yumeng Zhu
Shouli Feng
Ting Zhao
Luyao Wang
Zhihong Zheng
Nijiang Ai
Xueying Guan
The impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in Xinjiang, China
npj Sustainable Agriculture
title The impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in Xinjiang, China
title_full The impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in Xinjiang, China
title_fullStr The impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in Xinjiang, China
title_full_unstemmed The impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in Xinjiang, China
title_short The impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in Xinjiang, China
title_sort impact of temperature on cotton yield and production in xinjiang china
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s44264-024-00043-z
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