Trends and Future Projections of Vitreoretinal Surgery in a Tertiary Hospital in China (2005–2022)

Chin-Ling Tsai,1,2,* Baoyi Liu,1,2,* Yaping Liu,1,2 Zhuojun Xu,1,2 Zhuangling Lin,1,2 Ziye Chen,1,2 Yuan Ma,1,2 Yuan Liu,1,2 Zitong Chen,1,2 Lan Jiang,1,2 Zijian Qin,1,2 Kunbei Lai,1,2 Tao Li1,2 1State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-Sen...

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Main Authors: Tsai CL, Liu B, Liu Y, Xu Z, Lin Z, Chen Z, Ma Y, Jiang L, Qin Z, Lai K, Li T
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dove Medical Press 2025-07-01
Series:Clinical Ophthalmology
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Online Access:https://www.dovepress.com/trends-and-future-projections-of-vitreoretinal-surgery-in-a-tertiary-h-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-OPTH
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author Tsai CL
Liu B
Liu Y
Xu Z
Lin Z
Chen Z
Ma Y
Liu Y
Chen Z
Jiang L
Qin Z
Lai K
Li T
author_facet Tsai CL
Liu B
Liu Y
Xu Z
Lin Z
Chen Z
Ma Y
Liu Y
Chen Z
Jiang L
Qin Z
Lai K
Li T
author_sort Tsai CL
collection DOAJ
description Chin-Ling Tsai,1,2,* Baoyi Liu,1,2,* Yaping Liu,1,2 Zhuojun Xu,1,2 Zhuangling Lin,1,2 Ziye Chen,1,2 Yuan Ma,1,2 Yuan Liu,1,2 Zitong Chen,1,2 Lan Jiang,1,2 Zijian Qin,1,2 Kunbei Lai,1,2 Tao Li1,2 1State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology Visual Science, Guangzhou, 510060, People’s Republic of China; 2Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Ocular Diseases, Guangzhou, 510060, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Tao Li, State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510060, People’s Republic of China, Email litao2@mail.sysu.edu.cnPurpose: To analyze past trends and project future trajectories of vitreoretinal surgery in China.Methods: A single-institution, retrospective analysis of vitreoretinal surgeries conducted at Zhongshan ophthalmic center (ZOC), Sun Yat-sen University, from 2005 to 2022, utilizing ZOC’s inpatient database. Patients hospitalized in the retinal surgery department were included. The number of surgeries was stratified by final diagnosis, and a time series forecasting model was employed to predict the number of patients undergoing vitreoretinal surgery up to and including the year 2032.Results: The number of patients undergoing vitreoretinal surgery increased nearly fourfold from 2005 to 2022, reaching a total of 5600 vitreoretinal surgeries in 2022. The majority of indication was given for the treatment was rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RRD). Among the diagnosis categories, macular diseases (MD) increased by 15.61%, and diabetic retinopathy (DR) by 11.99% during the study period. Vitreoretinal surgeries are projected to increased annually, with an estimated 9231 vitreoretinal surgeries by 2032.Conclusion: The demand for vitreoretinal surgery in China has grown substantially over the last decade and is anticipated to rise further. Healthcare systems must adapt to accommodate the high demand.Keywords: vitreoretinal surgery, trend, projection
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series Clinical Ophthalmology
spelling doaj-art-e4aefd3dc23140cba623aa58ec23fc822025-08-20T03:30:33ZengDove Medical PressClinical Ophthalmology1177-54832025-07-01Volume 19Issue 123632371104876Trends and Future Projections of Vitreoretinal Surgery in a Tertiary Hospital in China (2005–2022)Tsai CL0Liu BLiu YXu ZLin ZChen Z1Ma Y2Liu YChen ZJiang LQin ZLai K3Li T4OphthalmologyFundus Surgery DepartmentState Key Laboratory of OphthalmologyOphthalmologyRetinaChin-Ling Tsai,1,2,* Baoyi Liu,1,2,* Yaping Liu,1,2 Zhuojun Xu,1,2 Zhuangling Lin,1,2 Ziye Chen,1,2 Yuan Ma,1,2 Yuan Liu,1,2 Zitong Chen,1,2 Lan Jiang,1,2 Zijian Qin,1,2 Kunbei Lai,1,2 Tao Li1,2 1State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology Visual Science, Guangzhou, 510060, People’s Republic of China; 2Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Ocular Diseases, Guangzhou, 510060, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Tao Li, State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510060, People’s Republic of China, Email litao2@mail.sysu.edu.cnPurpose: To analyze past trends and project future trajectories of vitreoretinal surgery in China.Methods: A single-institution, retrospective analysis of vitreoretinal surgeries conducted at Zhongshan ophthalmic center (ZOC), Sun Yat-sen University, from 2005 to 2022, utilizing ZOC’s inpatient database. Patients hospitalized in the retinal surgery department were included. The number of surgeries was stratified by final diagnosis, and a time series forecasting model was employed to predict the number of patients undergoing vitreoretinal surgery up to and including the year 2032.Results: The number of patients undergoing vitreoretinal surgery increased nearly fourfold from 2005 to 2022, reaching a total of 5600 vitreoretinal surgeries in 2022. The majority of indication was given for the treatment was rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RRD). Among the diagnosis categories, macular diseases (MD) increased by 15.61%, and diabetic retinopathy (DR) by 11.99% during the study period. Vitreoretinal surgeries are projected to increased annually, with an estimated 9231 vitreoretinal surgeries by 2032.Conclusion: The demand for vitreoretinal surgery in China has grown substantially over the last decade and is anticipated to rise further. Healthcare systems must adapt to accommodate the high demand.Keywords: vitreoretinal surgery, trend, projectionhttps://www.dovepress.com/trends-and-future-projections-of-vitreoretinal-surgery-in-a-tertiary-h-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-OPTHVitreoretinal surgeryTrendProjection
spellingShingle Tsai CL
Liu B
Liu Y
Xu Z
Lin Z
Chen Z
Ma Y
Liu Y
Chen Z
Jiang L
Qin Z
Lai K
Li T
Trends and Future Projections of Vitreoretinal Surgery in a Tertiary Hospital in China (2005–2022)
Clinical Ophthalmology
Vitreoretinal surgery
Trend
Projection
title Trends and Future Projections of Vitreoretinal Surgery in a Tertiary Hospital in China (2005–2022)
title_full Trends and Future Projections of Vitreoretinal Surgery in a Tertiary Hospital in China (2005–2022)
title_fullStr Trends and Future Projections of Vitreoretinal Surgery in a Tertiary Hospital in China (2005–2022)
title_full_unstemmed Trends and Future Projections of Vitreoretinal Surgery in a Tertiary Hospital in China (2005–2022)
title_short Trends and Future Projections of Vitreoretinal Surgery in a Tertiary Hospital in China (2005–2022)
title_sort trends and future projections of vitreoretinal surgery in a tertiary hospital in china 2005 amp ndash 2022
topic Vitreoretinal surgery
Trend
Projection
url https://www.dovepress.com/trends-and-future-projections-of-vitreoretinal-surgery-in-a-tertiary-h-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-OPTH
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