Aging dams, political instability, poor human decisions and climate change: recipe for human disaster

In Derna, Libya, a record-breaking storm and subsequent dam failures on September 10, 2023, caused over 11,000 deaths. Analyzing satellite data from 2016–2023, we found 1.8 mm/yr of differential settlement in dams contributed to their failure, and flooding damaged ~8570 buildings. We argue that the...

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Main Authors: Manoochehr Shirzaei, Farshid Vahedifard, Nitheshnirmal Sadhasivam, Leonard Ohenhen, Oluwaseyi Dasho, Ashutosh Tiwari, Susanna Werth, Mohammed Azhar, Yunxia Zhao, Robert J. Nicholls, Amir AghaKouchak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:npj Natural Hazards
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00056-1
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author Manoochehr Shirzaei
Farshid Vahedifard
Nitheshnirmal Sadhasivam
Leonard Ohenhen
Oluwaseyi Dasho
Ashutosh Tiwari
Susanna Werth
Mohammed Azhar
Yunxia Zhao
Robert J. Nicholls
Amir AghaKouchak
author_facet Manoochehr Shirzaei
Farshid Vahedifard
Nitheshnirmal Sadhasivam
Leonard Ohenhen
Oluwaseyi Dasho
Ashutosh Tiwari
Susanna Werth
Mohammed Azhar
Yunxia Zhao
Robert J. Nicholls
Amir AghaKouchak
author_sort Manoochehr Shirzaei
collection DOAJ
description In Derna, Libya, a record-breaking storm and subsequent dam failures on September 10, 2023, caused over 11,000 deaths. Analyzing satellite data from 2016–2023, we found 1.8 mm/yr of differential settlement in dams contributed to their failure, and flooding damaged ~8570 buildings. We argue that the interplay of aging infrastructure, political instability, climate change, and human decisions drove this disaster, stressing the need for a holistic ‘healthcare’ management approach to prevent future catastrophes.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2948-2100
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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series npj Natural Hazards
spelling doaj-art-e3a415dde00e4c31bcfbdcd69aa26a712025-01-19T12:10:55ZengNature Portfolionpj Natural Hazards2948-21002025-01-01211810.1038/s44304-024-00056-1Aging dams, political instability, poor human decisions and climate change: recipe for human disasterManoochehr Shirzaei0Farshid Vahedifard1Nitheshnirmal Sadhasivam2Leonard Ohenhen3Oluwaseyi Dasho4Ashutosh Tiwari5Susanna Werth6Mohammed Azhar7Yunxia Zhao8Robert J. Nicholls9Amir AghaKouchak10Virginia Tech, Department of GeosciencesUnited Nations University, Institute for Water, Environment and HealthVirginia Tech, Department of GeosciencesVirginia Tech, Department of GeosciencesVirginia Tech, Department of GeosciencesVirginia Tech, Department of GeosciencesVirginia Tech, Department of GeosciencesTufts University, Department of Civil and Environmental EngineeringUniversity of California, Department of Civil & Environmental EngineeringUniversity of East Anglia, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change ResearchUnited Nations University, Institute for Water, Environment and HealthIn Derna, Libya, a record-breaking storm and subsequent dam failures on September 10, 2023, caused over 11,000 deaths. Analyzing satellite data from 2016–2023, we found 1.8 mm/yr of differential settlement in dams contributed to their failure, and flooding damaged ~8570 buildings. We argue that the interplay of aging infrastructure, political instability, climate change, and human decisions drove this disaster, stressing the need for a holistic ‘healthcare’ management approach to prevent future catastrophes.https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00056-1
spellingShingle Manoochehr Shirzaei
Farshid Vahedifard
Nitheshnirmal Sadhasivam
Leonard Ohenhen
Oluwaseyi Dasho
Ashutosh Tiwari
Susanna Werth
Mohammed Azhar
Yunxia Zhao
Robert J. Nicholls
Amir AghaKouchak
Aging dams, political instability, poor human decisions and climate change: recipe for human disaster
npj Natural Hazards
title Aging dams, political instability, poor human decisions and climate change: recipe for human disaster
title_full Aging dams, political instability, poor human decisions and climate change: recipe for human disaster
title_fullStr Aging dams, political instability, poor human decisions and climate change: recipe for human disaster
title_full_unstemmed Aging dams, political instability, poor human decisions and climate change: recipe for human disaster
title_short Aging dams, political instability, poor human decisions and climate change: recipe for human disaster
title_sort aging dams political instability poor human decisions and climate change recipe for human disaster
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00056-1
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