Hierarchical forecasting of causes of death with trend breaks in mortality modeling: Kenyan case
Trends offer direction and momentum. However, trends in mortality are affected by trend breaks, which are a consequence of mortality shocks. Additionally, insufficient historical data challenge the credibility of the forecasted trends, which are useful for actuaries in pricing, reserving, and valuin...
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Main Authors: | Nicholas Bett, Juma Kasozi, Daniel Ruturwa |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"
2025-01-01
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Series: | Insurance Markets and Companies |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://www.businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/21457/IMС_2025_01_Bett.pdf |
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