A new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexity

Abstract The health status of aerospace equipment directly affects the operational capability of the entire system. Belief rule base (BRB) is an effective method for assessing health status that combines expert knowledge and historical data. However, in the actual assessment, the data provided by ex...

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Main Authors: Jinting Shen, Zeyang Si, Hongyu Li, Ning Ma, Wei He
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86851-w
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author Jinting Shen
Zeyang Si
Hongyu Li
Ning Ma
Wei He
author_facet Jinting Shen
Zeyang Si
Hongyu Li
Ning Ma
Wei He
author_sort Jinting Shen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The health status of aerospace equipment directly affects the operational capability of the entire system. Belief rule base (BRB) is an effective method for assessing health status that combines expert knowledge and historical data. However, in the actual assessment, the data provided by experts only form the basic framework of the model. Therefore, the BRB model with joint optimization of structure and parameters (BRB-SPO) is proposed to achieve a balance between the model’s accuracy and complexity. First, to balance complexity and accuracy of the model, parameter structure backward stepwise selection method (BSS) and full factorial design (FFD) are introduced. BSS constructs the optimal parameter set, while FFD determines the best parameter values for the model. Subsequently, the constructed model is deduced using the evidential reasoning (ER) calculation procedure, the other parameters are optimized using the projection covariance matrix adaptive evolution strategy (P-CMA-ES). Finally, the practicality of the proposed method is validated through two examples.
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spelling doaj-art-e028e95a462447a2846a898695a581562025-02-02T12:20:12ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-01-0115112410.1038/s41598-025-86851-wA new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexityJinting Shen0Zeyang Si1Hongyu Li2Ning Ma3Wei He4Harbin Normal UniversityHarbin Normal UniversityHarbin Normal UniversityHarbin Normal UniversityHarbin Normal UniversityAbstract The health status of aerospace equipment directly affects the operational capability of the entire system. Belief rule base (BRB) is an effective method for assessing health status that combines expert knowledge and historical data. However, in the actual assessment, the data provided by experts only form the basic framework of the model. Therefore, the BRB model with joint optimization of structure and parameters (BRB-SPO) is proposed to achieve a balance between the model’s accuracy and complexity. First, to balance complexity and accuracy of the model, parameter structure backward stepwise selection method (BSS) and full factorial design (FFD) are introduced. BSS constructs the optimal parameter set, while FFD determines the best parameter values for the model. Subsequently, the constructed model is deduced using the evidential reasoning (ER) calculation procedure, the other parameters are optimized using the projection covariance matrix adaptive evolution strategy (P-CMA-ES). Finally, the practicality of the proposed method is validated through two examples.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86851-wHealth status assessmentBelief rule baseStructureParameters
spellingShingle Jinting Shen
Zeyang Si
Hongyu Li
Ning Ma
Wei He
A new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexity
Scientific Reports
Health status assessment
Belief rule base
Structure
Parameters
title A new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexity
title_full A new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexity
title_fullStr A new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexity
title_full_unstemmed A new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexity
title_short A new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexity
title_sort new method for assessing the health status of aerospace equipment based on a belief rule base with balanced accuracy and complexity
topic Health status assessment
Belief rule base
Structure
Parameters
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-86851-w
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