Global long-run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis-à-vis countries' industrial profiles

We examined distribution dynamics and the long-run evolution of cross-country relative per capita carbon emissions (REPC) and intensity (RCI) vis-à-vis countries' two factors: industrial and services sectors' output. Unlike other researchers, we employed two visual tools of the distributio...

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Main Authors: Yigang Wei, Tsun Se Cheong, Michal Wojewodzki, Xunpeng Shi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2024-10-01
Series:Green Finance
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Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/GF.2024023
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author Yigang Wei
Tsun Se Cheong
Michal Wojewodzki
Xunpeng Shi
author_facet Yigang Wei
Tsun Se Cheong
Michal Wojewodzki
Xunpeng Shi
author_sort Yigang Wei
collection DOAJ
description We examined distribution dynamics and the long-run evolution of cross-country relative per capita carbon emissions (REPC) and intensity (RCI) vis-à-vis countries' two factors: industrial and services sectors' output. Unlike other researchers, we employed two visual tools of the distribution dynamics approach and used a panel of 217 countries. We ranked the countries based on the two factors and grouped them into four quartiles (Q1 to Q4) for each factor, resulting in eight subsamples. The results suggested long-run absolute convergence in REPC (RCI) only among highly industrialized (Q3 and Q4) countries. However, two to four convergence clubs emerged within the remaining subsamples. Besides a few (many) of the least (the most) industrialized countries converging towards the global average RCI, clubs occur at levels significantly below or above the worldwide average. The convergence was more (less) significant and towards higher (lower) REPC and RCI values for economies with low (high) industrialization. We constructed a policy priority list consisting of the least services-oriented (Q1) countries with REPC (RCI) values of 3 (7.4) and 20 (30) percent probability of further divergence from the global average in the coming years. From the perspective of climate policies aiming at reducing and converging carbon emissions, these countries require the urgent development and implementation of coordinated, bespoke policies and ongoing monitoring.
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spelling doaj-art-ddeb5af0f44c4bf184e139a5dbe6df692025-01-24T01:03:56ZengAIMS PressGreen Finance2643-10922024-10-016461262910.3934/GF.2024023Global long-run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis-à-vis countries' industrial profilesYigang Wei0Tsun Se Cheong1Michal Wojewodzki2Xunpeng Shi3School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, ChinaSchool of Business, The Hang Seng University of Hong Kong, Hong KongFaculty of Business, Lingnan University, Hong KongAustralia-China Relations Institute, University of Technology Sydney, AustraliaWe examined distribution dynamics and the long-run evolution of cross-country relative per capita carbon emissions (REPC) and intensity (RCI) vis-à-vis countries' two factors: industrial and services sectors' output. Unlike other researchers, we employed two visual tools of the distribution dynamics approach and used a panel of 217 countries. We ranked the countries based on the two factors and grouped them into four quartiles (Q1 to Q4) for each factor, resulting in eight subsamples. The results suggested long-run absolute convergence in REPC (RCI) only among highly industrialized (Q3 and Q4) countries. However, two to four convergence clubs emerged within the remaining subsamples. Besides a few (many) of the least (the most) industrialized countries converging towards the global average RCI, clubs occur at levels significantly below or above the worldwide average. The convergence was more (less) significant and towards higher (lower) REPC and RCI values for economies with low (high) industrialization. We constructed a policy priority list consisting of the least services-oriented (Q1) countries with REPC (RCI) values of 3 (7.4) and 20 (30) percent probability of further divergence from the global average in the coming years. From the perspective of climate policies aiming at reducing and converging carbon emissions, these countries require the urgent development and implementation of coordinated, bespoke policies and ongoing monitoring.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/GF.2024023carbon emissionscarbon intensityindustrial structuredistribution dynamicsconvergence club
spellingShingle Yigang Wei
Tsun Se Cheong
Michal Wojewodzki
Xunpeng Shi
Global long-run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis-à-vis countries' industrial profiles
Green Finance
carbon emissions
carbon intensity
industrial structure
distribution dynamics
convergence club
title Global long-run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis-à-vis countries' industrial profiles
title_full Global long-run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis-à-vis countries' industrial profiles
title_fullStr Global long-run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis-à-vis countries' industrial profiles
title_full_unstemmed Global long-run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis-à-vis countries' industrial profiles
title_short Global long-run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis-à-vis countries' industrial profiles
title_sort global long run convergence of carbon emissions and intensity vis a vis countries industrial profiles
topic carbon emissions
carbon intensity
industrial structure
distribution dynamics
convergence club
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/GF.2024023
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AT tsunsecheong globallongrunconvergenceofcarbonemissionsandintensityvisaviscountriesindustrialprofiles
AT michalwojewodzki globallongrunconvergenceofcarbonemissionsandintensityvisaviscountriesindustrialprofiles
AT xunpengshi globallongrunconvergenceofcarbonemissionsandintensityvisaviscountriesindustrialprofiles