Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation Model

A delayed worm propagation model with birth and death rates is formulated. The stability of the positive equilibrium is studied. Through theoretical analysis, a critical value τ0 of Hopf bifurcation is derived. The worm propagation system is locally asymptotically stable when time delay is less than...

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Main Authors: Yu Yao, Nan Zhang, Wenlong Xiang, Ge Yu, Fuxiang Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Journal of Applied Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/927369
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author Yu Yao
Nan Zhang
Wenlong Xiang
Ge Yu
Fuxiang Gao
author_facet Yu Yao
Nan Zhang
Wenlong Xiang
Ge Yu
Fuxiang Gao
author_sort Yu Yao
collection DOAJ
description A delayed worm propagation model with birth and death rates is formulated. The stability of the positive equilibrium is studied. Through theoretical analysis, a critical value τ0 of Hopf bifurcation is derived. The worm propagation system is locally asymptotically stable when time delay is less than τ0. However, Hopf bifurcation appears when time delay τ passes the threshold τ0, which means that the worm propagation system is unstable and out of control. Consequently, time delay should be adjusted to be less than τ0 to ensure the stability of the system stable and better prediction of the scale and speed of Internet worm spreading. Finally, numerical and simulation experiments are presented to simulate the system, which fully support our analysis.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1110-757X
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language English
publishDate 2013-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Journal of Applied Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-dc8d9bbaa22d4e7bb977aa1cc7c536462025-02-03T05:44:31ZengWileyJournal of Applied Mathematics1110-757X1687-00422013-01-01201310.1155/2013/927369927369Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation ModelYu Yao0Nan Zhang1Wenlong Xiang2Ge Yu3Fuxiang Gao4College of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaA delayed worm propagation model with birth and death rates is formulated. The stability of the positive equilibrium is studied. Through theoretical analysis, a critical value τ0 of Hopf bifurcation is derived. The worm propagation system is locally asymptotically stable when time delay is less than τ0. However, Hopf bifurcation appears when time delay τ passes the threshold τ0, which means that the worm propagation system is unstable and out of control. Consequently, time delay should be adjusted to be less than τ0 to ensure the stability of the system stable and better prediction of the scale and speed of Internet worm spreading. Finally, numerical and simulation experiments are presented to simulate the system, which fully support our analysis.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/927369
spellingShingle Yu Yao
Nan Zhang
Wenlong Xiang
Ge Yu
Fuxiang Gao
Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation Model
Journal of Applied Mathematics
title Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation Model
title_full Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation Model
title_fullStr Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation Model
title_full_unstemmed Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation Model
title_short Modeling and Analysis of Bifurcation in a Delayed Worm Propagation Model
title_sort modeling and analysis of bifurcation in a delayed worm propagation model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/927369
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