The role of productivity, wages, demand, and exchange rates on export performance: Evidence from the Turkish manufacturing industry
Purpose — This study explores the determinants of export performance in the Turkish manufacturing industry by examining the effects of productivity, wages, demand, and sector-specific real effective exchange rates from 2006 to 2019. Methods — Using firm-level export data across 21 manufacturing sec...
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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Universitas Islam Indonesia
2025-04-01
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| Series: | Economic Journal of Emerging Markets |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://journal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/37378 |
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| Summary: | Purpose — This study explores the determinants of export performance in the Turkish manufacturing industry by examining the effects of productivity, wages, demand, and sector-specific real effective exchange rates from 2006 to 2019.
Methods — Using firm-level export data across 21 manufacturing sectors, the study applies a Fixed-Effects model with Driscoll-Kraay standard errors to address heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, and cross-sectional dependence. Endogeneity concerns are mitigated using Two-Step System GMM estimation, complemented by Moment Quantile Regression (MQR) for robustness checks across the export distribution.
Findings — The results reveal that higher productivity, increased wages, and stronger external demand significantly enhance exports, while currency appreciation adversely affects export performance. Productivity emerges as the most influential factor.
Implication — Productivity enhancement, stable exchange rate management, and workforce development support export-driven growth. Targeted policies that strengthen sectoral competitiveness and expand foreign market access are essential for sustaining manufacturing exports.
Originality — This study departs from traditional macro-level analyses by constructing sector-specific indices for real exchange rates and external demand. It offers a more granular and precise understanding of export dynamics. The methodological rigor combines static and dynamic panel estimators to ensure robustness and advance empirical insights into firm-level export behavior.
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| ISSN: | 2086-3128 2502-180X |