Investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the Tehran Stock Exchange index

The aim of the study is to investigate The spillover effects of traditional and new financial markets (stock market, cryptocurrency and foreign exchange) by VAR model during the period of 5/2/2012 to 10/1/2023. Knowing the relationships between financial markets is a necessary issue for investors to...

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Main Authors: shima javaheri, AHMAD Shabani
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Securities Exchange 2025-04-01
Series:فصلنامه بورس اوراق بهادار
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Online Access:https://journal.seo.ir/article_11418_b9e4b5c899b3b26b08a421b86be8ea22.pdf
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author shima javaheri
AHMAD Shabani
author_facet shima javaheri
AHMAD Shabani
author_sort shima javaheri
collection DOAJ
description The aim of the study is to investigate The spillover effects of traditional and new financial markets (stock market, cryptocurrency and foreign exchange) by VAR model during the period of 5/2/2012 to 10/1/2023. Knowing the relationships between financial markets is a necessary issue for investors to make appropriate decisions. This knowledge can help policymakers in policy design and investors in predicting fluctuations. The results of this research show that 1) Bitcoin is not affected by the foreign exchange market and the Iranian stock exchange; Also, this market does not have a significant effect on the two foreign exchange markets and the stock market, so investors can choose the cryptocurrency market for investment in order to cover the portfolio risk. 2) The currency market and the stock market have a mutual influence on each other, although the influence of the currency on the stock market is greater and faster, but the influence of the stock market on the currency is less; According to the results of this research, it is necessary for the Two politicians in Foreign exchange and capital market to coordinate their policies so that both markets have the least turbulence, On this basis, it is necessary to coordinate capital market and currency market policies.
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series فصلنامه بورس اوراق بهادار
spelling doaj-art-dbb58c45850a4e00a5149933dd5fc10a2025-08-20T03:10:27ZfasSecurities Exchangeفصلنامه بورس اوراق بهادار2228-54312820-98932025-04-01186911113210.22034/jse.2024.12381.223511418Investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the Tehran Stock Exchange indexshima javaheri0AHMAD Shabani1Ph.D. Department of Islamic Financial Economics, Imam Sadiq University, Tehran, IranAssociate Professor, Department of Financial Economics, Faculty of Islamic Studies & Economics, Imam Sadegh University, Tehran, IranThe aim of the study is to investigate The spillover effects of traditional and new financial markets (stock market, cryptocurrency and foreign exchange) by VAR model during the period of 5/2/2012 to 10/1/2023. Knowing the relationships between financial markets is a necessary issue for investors to make appropriate decisions. This knowledge can help policymakers in policy design and investors in predicting fluctuations. The results of this research show that 1) Bitcoin is not affected by the foreign exchange market and the Iranian stock exchange; Also, this market does not have a significant effect on the two foreign exchange markets and the stock market, so investors can choose the cryptocurrency market for investment in order to cover the portfolio risk. 2) The currency market and the stock market have a mutual influence on each other, although the influence of the currency on the stock market is greater and faster, but the influence of the stock market on the currency is less; According to the results of this research, it is necessary for the Two politicians in Foreign exchange and capital market to coordinate their policies so that both markets have the least turbulence, On this basis, it is necessary to coordinate capital market and currency market policies.https://journal.seo.ir/article_11418_b9e4b5c899b3b26b08a421b86be8ea22.pdfstock marketvector autoregression modelspillovervariance analysis
spellingShingle shima javaheri
AHMAD Shabani
Investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the Tehran Stock Exchange index
فصلنامه بورس اوراق بهادار
stock market
vector autoregression model
spillover
variance analysis
title Investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the Tehran Stock Exchange index
title_full Investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the Tehran Stock Exchange index
title_fullStr Investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the Tehran Stock Exchange index
title_full_unstemmed Investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the Tehran Stock Exchange index
title_short Investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the Tehran Stock Exchange index
title_sort investigating the spillover effect of traditional and modern currency market with the tehran stock exchange index
topic stock market
vector autoregression model
spillover
variance analysis
url https://journal.seo.ir/article_11418_b9e4b5c899b3b26b08a421b86be8ea22.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT shimajavaheri investigatingthespillovereffectoftraditionalandmoderncurrencymarketwiththetehranstockexchangeindex
AT ahmadshabani investigatingthespillovereffectoftraditionalandmoderncurrencymarketwiththetehranstockexchangeindex