Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast

Fertility rate is one of the key statistical indicators that needs to be tracked, analyzed in order to assess the current situation in the country and identify relevant trends as objectively as possible. The article analyzes the birth rate in Russia in recent years in the context of a 6-year period...

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Main Author: D. K. Sopov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Publishing House of the State University of Management 2022-09-01
Series:Вестник университета
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/3700
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author D. K. Sopov
author_facet D. K. Sopov
author_sort D. K. Sopov
collection DOAJ
description Fertility rate is one of the key statistical indicators that needs to be tracked, analyzed in order to assess the current situation in the country and identify relevant trends as objectively as possible. The article analyzes the birth rate in Russia in recent years in the context of a 6-year period and identifies a trend in changing indicators of this phenomenon for subsequent years. In the course of the study, the author uses various statistical methods, such as horizontal analysis, the method of analytical alignment of the dynamic’s series and trend analysis, which allows an objective assessment of the current changes. The article emphasizes the importance of the analysis of the birth rate for the study of various demographic processes in the country, and also provides an overview of the development of this indicator in Russia.
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series Вестник университета
spelling doaj-art-db62c0e90dad43f3a0817c0c65a2ff9f2025-02-04T08:28:13ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152022-09-011718419110.26425/1816-4277-2022-7-184-1912529Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecastD. K. Sopov0Financial University under the Government of the Russian FederationFertility rate is one of the key statistical indicators that needs to be tracked, analyzed in order to assess the current situation in the country and identify relevant trends as objectively as possible. The article analyzes the birth rate in Russia in recent years in the context of a 6-year period and identifies a trend in changing indicators of this phenomenon for subsequent years. In the course of the study, the author uses various statistical methods, such as horizontal analysis, the method of analytical alignment of the dynamic’s series and trend analysis, which allows an objective assessment of the current changes. The article emphasizes the importance of the analysis of the birth rate for the study of various demographic processes in the country, and also provides an overview of the development of this indicator in Russia.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/3700birth ratestatisticsforecastingrussianegative trendsgrowth ratesidentification of patternsanalytical alignment of series
spellingShingle D. K. Sopov
Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast
Вестник университета
birth rate
statistics
forecasting
russia
negative trends
growth rates
identification of patterns
analytical alignment of series
title Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast
title_full Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast
title_fullStr Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast
title_full_unstemmed Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast
title_short Fertility dynamics in Russia: assessment and forecast
title_sort fertility dynamics in russia assessment and forecast
topic birth rate
statistics
forecasting
russia
negative trends
growth rates
identification of patterns
analytical alignment of series
url https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/3700
work_keys_str_mv AT dksopov fertilitydynamicsinrussiaassessmentandforecast