Predicting Species Distribution and Conserving Rosewood Tree Under Global Climate Change Scenarios
Abstract Aniba rosiodora Ducke, an Amazonian species, is valued for its essential oil rich in linalool, which is widely used in fine perfumery. Due to this, it has been overexploited and recognized as a threatened species. Despite efforts to maintain their genetic variability, there are few quotes a...
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| Format: | Article |
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Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro
2025-08-01
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| Series: | Floresta e Ambiente |
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| Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2179-80872025000300302&tlng=en |
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| author | Paulo Vinícius da Silva Santos Manuel de Jesus Vieira Lima Junior Samuel Freitas de Souza Jennifer Souza Tomaz Caroline de Souza Bezerra Maria Teresa Gomes Lopes |
| author_facet | Paulo Vinícius da Silva Santos Manuel de Jesus Vieira Lima Junior Samuel Freitas de Souza Jennifer Souza Tomaz Caroline de Souza Bezerra Maria Teresa Gomes Lopes |
| author_sort | Paulo Vinícius da Silva Santos |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Aniba rosiodora Ducke, an Amazonian species, is valued for its essential oil rich in linalool, which is widely used in fine perfumery. Due to this, it has been overexploited and recognized as a threatened species. Despite efforts to maintain their genetic variability, there are few quotes about their behavior in the face of climate change. This study uses species distribution modeling (SDM) to project its geographic distribution in future scenarios (2009-2019) with projections for SSP245 (less pessimistic) and SSP585 (more pessimistic) for 2041-2060, 2061-2080 and 2081-2100, based on 19 bioclimatic and 14 edaphic variables in South America. The results indicate that the distribution of rosewood trees is mainly influenced by temperature and precipitation, and the analyzed scenarios indicate a reduction of the areas with environmental suitability, especially in the Amazon, Caatinga, and Atlantic Forest. Strategies should be planned to ensure the conservation and genetic variability of the species. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-db5d31214a1d43f798d44808424f4d8b |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2179-8087 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-08-01 |
| publisher | Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Floresta e Ambiente |
| spelling | doaj-art-db5d31214a1d43f798d44808424f4d8b2025-08-20T04:03:25ZengUniversidade Federal Rural do Rio de JaneiroFloresta e Ambiente2179-80872025-08-0132310.1590/2179-8087-floram-2025-0008Predicting Species Distribution and Conserving Rosewood Tree Under Global Climate Change ScenariosPaulo Vinícius da Silva Santoshttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8317-9146Manuel de Jesus Vieira Lima Juniorhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1930-5416Samuel Freitas de Souzahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9672-0197Jennifer Souza Tomazhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6612-2172Caroline de Souza Bezerrahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0380-4181Maria Teresa Gomes Lopeshttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1988-7126Abstract Aniba rosiodora Ducke, an Amazonian species, is valued for its essential oil rich in linalool, which is widely used in fine perfumery. Due to this, it has been overexploited and recognized as a threatened species. Despite efforts to maintain their genetic variability, there are few quotes about their behavior in the face of climate change. This study uses species distribution modeling (SDM) to project its geographic distribution in future scenarios (2009-2019) with projections for SSP245 (less pessimistic) and SSP585 (more pessimistic) for 2041-2060, 2061-2080 and 2081-2100, based on 19 bioclimatic and 14 edaphic variables in South America. The results indicate that the distribution of rosewood trees is mainly influenced by temperature and precipitation, and the analyzed scenarios indicate a reduction of the areas with environmental suitability, especially in the Amazon, Caatinga, and Atlantic Forest. Strategies should be planned to ensure the conservation and genetic variability of the species.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2179-80872025000300302&tlng=enhabitat suitabilityvulnerability of forest speciesAmazon |
| spellingShingle | Paulo Vinícius da Silva Santos Manuel de Jesus Vieira Lima Junior Samuel Freitas de Souza Jennifer Souza Tomaz Caroline de Souza Bezerra Maria Teresa Gomes Lopes Predicting Species Distribution and Conserving Rosewood Tree Under Global Climate Change Scenarios Floresta e Ambiente habitat suitability vulnerability of forest species Amazon |
| title | Predicting Species Distribution and Conserving Rosewood Tree Under Global Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_full | Predicting Species Distribution and Conserving Rosewood Tree Under Global Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_fullStr | Predicting Species Distribution and Conserving Rosewood Tree Under Global Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predicting Species Distribution and Conserving Rosewood Tree Under Global Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_short | Predicting Species Distribution and Conserving Rosewood Tree Under Global Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_sort | predicting species distribution and conserving rosewood tree under global climate change scenarios |
| topic | habitat suitability vulnerability of forest species Amazon |
| url | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2179-80872025000300302&tlng=en |
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