Estimation of stationary and non-stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain.

This paper introduces a novel approach for the offline estimation of stationary moving average processes, further extending it to efficient online estimation of non-stationary processes. The novelty lies in a unique technique to solve the autocorrelation function matching problem leveraging that the...

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Main Authors: Martin Dodek, Eva Miklovičová
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314080
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author Martin Dodek
Eva Miklovičová
author_facet Martin Dodek
Eva Miklovičová
author_sort Martin Dodek
collection DOAJ
description This paper introduces a novel approach for the offline estimation of stationary moving average processes, further extending it to efficient online estimation of non-stationary processes. The novelty lies in a unique technique to solve the autocorrelation function matching problem leveraging that the autocorrelation function of a colored noise is equal to the autocorrelation function of the coefficients of the moving average process. This enables the derivation of a system of nonlinear equations to be solved for estimating the model parameters. Unlike conventional methods, this approach uses the Newton-Raphson and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithms to efficiently find the solution. A key finding is the demonstration of multiple symmetrical solutions and the provision of necessary conditions for solution feasibility. In the non-stationary case, the estimation complexity is notably reduced, resulting in a triangular system of linear equations solvable by backward substitution. For online parameter estimation of non-stationary processes, a new recursive formula is introduced to update the sample autocorrelation function, integrating exponential forgetting of older samples to enable parameter adaptation. Numerical experiments confirm the method's effectiveness and evaluate its performance compared to existing techniques.
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spelling doaj-art-dad3cd65b27c4e96823aec6975601e952025-02-05T05:32:01ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01201e031408010.1371/journal.pone.0314080Estimation of stationary and non-stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain.Martin DodekEva MiklovičováThis paper introduces a novel approach for the offline estimation of stationary moving average processes, further extending it to efficient online estimation of non-stationary processes. The novelty lies in a unique technique to solve the autocorrelation function matching problem leveraging that the autocorrelation function of a colored noise is equal to the autocorrelation function of the coefficients of the moving average process. This enables the derivation of a system of nonlinear equations to be solved for estimating the model parameters. Unlike conventional methods, this approach uses the Newton-Raphson and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithms to efficiently find the solution. A key finding is the demonstration of multiple symmetrical solutions and the provision of necessary conditions for solution feasibility. In the non-stationary case, the estimation complexity is notably reduced, resulting in a triangular system of linear equations solvable by backward substitution. For online parameter estimation of non-stationary processes, a new recursive formula is introduced to update the sample autocorrelation function, integrating exponential forgetting of older samples to enable parameter adaptation. Numerical experiments confirm the method's effectiveness and evaluate its performance compared to existing techniques.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314080
spellingShingle Martin Dodek
Eva Miklovičová
Estimation of stationary and non-stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain.
PLoS ONE
title Estimation of stationary and non-stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain.
title_full Estimation of stationary and non-stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain.
title_fullStr Estimation of stationary and non-stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain.
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of stationary and non-stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain.
title_short Estimation of stationary and non-stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain.
title_sort estimation of stationary and non stationary moving average processes in the correlation domain
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0314080
work_keys_str_mv AT martindodek estimationofstationaryandnonstationarymovingaverageprocessesinthecorrelationdomain
AT evamiklovicova estimationofstationaryandnonstationarymovingaverageprocessesinthecorrelationdomain