The Competition of Dominant Powers in the International System and the US-China Encounter in the Horn of Africa (2012-2022)

This study examines the power competition between the United States (US) and China in the Horn of Africa within the framework of Power Transition Theory (PTT). Using the concept of dissatisfaction, the study explores three main hypotheses: 1) the US as a satisfied dominant power and China as a dissa...

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Main Author: Kaan Devecioğlu
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Milli Savunma Üniversitesi 2024-12-01
Series:Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/guvenlikstrtj/issue/82793/1494505
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author Kaan Devecioğlu
author_facet Kaan Devecioğlu
author_sort Kaan Devecioğlu
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the power competition between the United States (US) and China in the Horn of Africa within the framework of Power Transition Theory (PTT). Using the concept of dissatisfaction, the study explores three main hypotheses: 1) the US as a satisfied dominant power and China as a dissatisfied rising power; 2) the US as a dissatisfied dominant power and China as a satisfied rising power; and 3) both actors being satisfied with the current international system. The Multiple Hierarchy Model is also applied when arguing these hypotheses. Through theorytesting process tracing, the study analyzes the geopolitical and geoeconomic implications of the competition in the Horn of Africa, focusing on military presence, technological infrastructure, regional disputes, and economic investments. The findings highlight how the strategic location of Djibouti and the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait plays a critical role in the US-China rivalry, influencing military strategies, telecommunications projects, and regional stability efforts. The study concludes that both the US and China engage in a mix of competition and cooperation, with significant impacts on the Horn of Africa’s political and economic landscape. This nuanced analysis contributes to the literature on PTT by providing empirical insights into the complex dynamics of US-China relations in a strategically vital region.
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series Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-dac84f07971543ea96c6b325c63322ea2025-01-22T09:32:38ZdeuMilli Savunma ÜniversitesiGüvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi1305-47402822-69842024-12-01Special IssueWar and International System416410.17752/guvenlikstrtj.1494505The Competition of Dominant Powers in the International System and the US-China Encounter in the Horn of Africa (2012-2022)Kaan Devecioğluhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5635-4308This study examines the power competition between the United States (US) and China in the Horn of Africa within the framework of Power Transition Theory (PTT). Using the concept of dissatisfaction, the study explores three main hypotheses: 1) the US as a satisfied dominant power and China as a dissatisfied rising power; 2) the US as a dissatisfied dominant power and China as a satisfied rising power; and 3) both actors being satisfied with the current international system. The Multiple Hierarchy Model is also applied when arguing these hypotheses. Through theorytesting process tracing, the study analyzes the geopolitical and geoeconomic implications of the competition in the Horn of Africa, focusing on military presence, technological infrastructure, regional disputes, and economic investments. The findings highlight how the strategic location of Djibouti and the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait plays a critical role in the US-China rivalry, influencing military strategies, telecommunications projects, and regional stability efforts. The study concludes that both the US and China engage in a mix of competition and cooperation, with significant impacts on the Horn of Africa’s political and economic landscape. This nuanced analysis contributes to the literature on PTT by providing empirical insights into the complex dynamics of US-China relations in a strategically vital region.https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/guvenlikstrtj/issue/82793/1494505power transition theoryus-china rivalryinternational systemhorn of africared sea
spellingShingle Kaan Devecioğlu
The Competition of Dominant Powers in the International System and the US-China Encounter in the Horn of Africa (2012-2022)
Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi
power transition theory
us-china rivalry
international system
horn of africa
red sea
title The Competition of Dominant Powers in the International System and the US-China Encounter in the Horn of Africa (2012-2022)
title_full The Competition of Dominant Powers in the International System and the US-China Encounter in the Horn of Africa (2012-2022)
title_fullStr The Competition of Dominant Powers in the International System and the US-China Encounter in the Horn of Africa (2012-2022)
title_full_unstemmed The Competition of Dominant Powers in the International System and the US-China Encounter in the Horn of Africa (2012-2022)
title_short The Competition of Dominant Powers in the International System and the US-China Encounter in the Horn of Africa (2012-2022)
title_sort competition of dominant powers in the international system and the us china encounter in the horn of africa 2012 2022
topic power transition theory
us-china rivalry
international system
horn of africa
red sea
url https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/guvenlikstrtj/issue/82793/1494505
work_keys_str_mv AT kaandevecioglu thecompetitionofdominantpowersintheinternationalsystemandtheuschinaencounterinthehornofafrica20122022
AT kaandevecioglu competitionofdominantpowersintheinternationalsystemandtheuschinaencounterinthehornofafrica20122022