Estimating Macroscopic Volume Delay Functions with the Traffic Density Derived from Measured Speeds and Flows

This paper proposes a new method to estimate the macroscopic volume delay function (VDF) from the point speed-flow measures. Contrary to typical VDF estimation methods it allows estimating speeds also for hypercritical traffic conditions, when both speeds and flow drop due to congestion (high densit...

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Main Authors: Rafał Kucharski, Arkadiusz Drabicki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/4629792
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author Rafał Kucharski
Arkadiusz Drabicki
author_facet Rafał Kucharski
Arkadiusz Drabicki
author_sort Rafał Kucharski
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes a new method to estimate the macroscopic volume delay function (VDF) from the point speed-flow measures. Contrary to typical VDF estimation methods it allows estimating speeds also for hypercritical traffic conditions, when both speeds and flow drop due to congestion (high density of traffic flow). We employ the well-known hydrodynamic relation of fundamental diagram to derive the so-called quasi-density from measured time-mean speeds and flows. This allows formulating the VDF estimation problem with a speed being monotonically decreasing function of quasi-density with a shape resembling the typical VDF like BPR. This way we can use the actually observed speeds and propose the macroscopic VDF realistically reproducing actual speeds also for hypercritical conditions. The proposed method is illustrated with half-year measurements from the induction loop system in city of Warsaw, which measured traffic flows and instantaneous speeds of over 5 million vehicles. Although the proposed method does not overcome the fundamental limitations of static macroscopic traffic models, which cannot represent dynamic traffic phenomena like queue, spillback, wave propagation, capacity drop, and so forth, we managed to improve the VDF goodness-of-fit from R2 of 27% to 72% most importantly also for hypercritical conditions. Thanks to this traffic congestion in macroscopic traffic models can be reproduced more realistically in line with empirical observations.
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spelling doaj-art-dac414374621492aa685f5b6a8e526f52025-02-03T06:42:29ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952017-01-01201710.1155/2017/46297924629792Estimating Macroscopic Volume Delay Functions with the Traffic Density Derived from Measured Speeds and FlowsRafał Kucharski0Arkadiusz Drabicki1Department of Transportation Systems, Cracow University of Technology, Ul. Warszawska 24, 31-155 Kraków, PolandDepartment of Transportation Systems, Cracow University of Technology, Ul. Warszawska 24, 31-155 Kraków, PolandThis paper proposes a new method to estimate the macroscopic volume delay function (VDF) from the point speed-flow measures. Contrary to typical VDF estimation methods it allows estimating speeds also for hypercritical traffic conditions, when both speeds and flow drop due to congestion (high density of traffic flow). We employ the well-known hydrodynamic relation of fundamental diagram to derive the so-called quasi-density from measured time-mean speeds and flows. This allows formulating the VDF estimation problem with a speed being monotonically decreasing function of quasi-density with a shape resembling the typical VDF like BPR. This way we can use the actually observed speeds and propose the macroscopic VDF realistically reproducing actual speeds also for hypercritical conditions. The proposed method is illustrated with half-year measurements from the induction loop system in city of Warsaw, which measured traffic flows and instantaneous speeds of over 5 million vehicles. Although the proposed method does not overcome the fundamental limitations of static macroscopic traffic models, which cannot represent dynamic traffic phenomena like queue, spillback, wave propagation, capacity drop, and so forth, we managed to improve the VDF goodness-of-fit from R2 of 27% to 72% most importantly also for hypercritical conditions. Thanks to this traffic congestion in macroscopic traffic models can be reproduced more realistically in line with empirical observations.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/4629792
spellingShingle Rafał Kucharski
Arkadiusz Drabicki
Estimating Macroscopic Volume Delay Functions with the Traffic Density Derived from Measured Speeds and Flows
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Estimating Macroscopic Volume Delay Functions with the Traffic Density Derived from Measured Speeds and Flows
title_full Estimating Macroscopic Volume Delay Functions with the Traffic Density Derived from Measured Speeds and Flows
title_fullStr Estimating Macroscopic Volume Delay Functions with the Traffic Density Derived from Measured Speeds and Flows
title_full_unstemmed Estimating Macroscopic Volume Delay Functions with the Traffic Density Derived from Measured Speeds and Flows
title_short Estimating Macroscopic Volume Delay Functions with the Traffic Density Derived from Measured Speeds and Flows
title_sort estimating macroscopic volume delay functions with the traffic density derived from measured speeds and flows
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/4629792
work_keys_str_mv AT rafałkucharski estimatingmacroscopicvolumedelayfunctionswiththetrafficdensityderivedfrommeasuredspeedsandflows
AT arkadiuszdrabicki estimatingmacroscopicvolumedelayfunctionswiththetrafficdensityderivedfrommeasuredspeedsandflows