Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT Model

Road traffic accidents are a concrete manifestation of road traffic safety levels. The current traffic accident prediction has a problem of low accuracy. In order to provide traffic management departments with more accurate forecast data, it can be applied in the traffic management system to help ma...

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Main Authors: Zhihao Zhang, Wenzhong Yang, Silamu Wushour
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Journal of Control Science and Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/4206919
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author Zhihao Zhang
Wenzhong Yang
Silamu Wushour
author_facet Zhihao Zhang
Wenzhong Yang
Silamu Wushour
author_sort Zhihao Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Road traffic accidents are a concrete manifestation of road traffic safety levels. The current traffic accident prediction has a problem of low accuracy. In order to provide traffic management departments with more accurate forecast data, it can be applied in the traffic management system to help make scientific decisions. This paper establishes a traffic accident prediction model based on LSTM-GBRT (long short-term memory, gradient boosted regression trees) and predicts traffic accident safety level indicators by training traffic accident-related data. Compared with various regression models and neural network models, the experimental results show that the LSTM-GBRT model has a good fitting effect and robustness. The LSTM-GBRT model can accurately predict the safety level of traffic accidents, so that the traffic management department can better grasp the situation of traffic safety levels.
format Article
id doaj-art-da8a0c14724541a39546eb30ef9c2578
institution Kabale University
issn 1687-5249
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language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Control Science and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-da8a0c14724541a39546eb30ef9c25782025-02-03T06:46:37ZengWileyJournal of Control Science and Engineering1687-52491687-52572020-01-01202010.1155/2020/42069194206919Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT ModelZhihao Zhang0Wenzhong Yang1Silamu Wushour2College of Information Science and Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, ChinaCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, ChinaCollege of Information Science and Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, ChinaRoad traffic accidents are a concrete manifestation of road traffic safety levels. The current traffic accident prediction has a problem of low accuracy. In order to provide traffic management departments with more accurate forecast data, it can be applied in the traffic management system to help make scientific decisions. This paper establishes a traffic accident prediction model based on LSTM-GBRT (long short-term memory, gradient boosted regression trees) and predicts traffic accident safety level indicators by training traffic accident-related data. Compared with various regression models and neural network models, the experimental results show that the LSTM-GBRT model has a good fitting effect and robustness. The LSTM-GBRT model can accurately predict the safety level of traffic accidents, so that the traffic management department can better grasp the situation of traffic safety levels.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/4206919
spellingShingle Zhihao Zhang
Wenzhong Yang
Silamu Wushour
Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT Model
Journal of Control Science and Engineering
title Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT Model
title_full Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT Model
title_fullStr Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT Model
title_full_unstemmed Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT Model
title_short Traffic Accident Prediction Based on LSTM-GBRT Model
title_sort traffic accident prediction based on lstm gbrt model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/4206919
work_keys_str_mv AT zhihaozhang trafficaccidentpredictionbasedonlstmgbrtmodel
AT wenzhongyang trafficaccidentpredictionbasedonlstmgbrtmodel
AT silamuwushour trafficaccidentpredictionbasedonlstmgbrtmodel