Probabilistic Analysis of Infinite Slope Stability Considering Variation in Soil Depth

In probabilistic slope stability analysis, soil depth has been treated as a deterministic variable, although it is a highly variable parameter. This study aims to identify soil depth variability using seismic refraction survey data and to analyze its impact on probabilistic analysis of slope stabili...

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Main Authors: Taejin Kim, Taeho Bong, Donggeun Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/936
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author Taejin Kim
Taeho Bong
Donggeun Kim
author_facet Taejin Kim
Taeho Bong
Donggeun Kim
author_sort Taejin Kim
collection DOAJ
description In probabilistic slope stability analysis, soil depth has been treated as a deterministic variable, although it is a highly variable parameter. This study aims to identify soil depth variability using seismic refraction survey data and to analyze its impact on probabilistic analysis of slope stability. Seismic refraction survey data were collected from 70 slopes in South Korea and employed to identify the variability of soil depth within natural slopes. As a result, the average soil depth across 70 slopes was 2.5 m, with an average coefficient of variation (COV) of 29%, indicating high variability. To investigate the influence of soil depth variability on the probability of slope failure, probabilistic slope stability analysis was conducted by considering the shear strength parameters of soil and soil depth as random variables. Accordingly, the influences of the variability of soil depth on the probabilistic analysis of slope stability were evaluated by comparing the probability of slope failure and distribution of the failure occurrence frequency by depth. Additionally, global sensitivity analysis was conducted to understand the relative contribution of input parameters on the probability of slope failure. Consequently, the probability of slope failure can vary significantly depending on soil depth variability, emphasizing the importance of considering this factor in probabilistic slope stability analysis.
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spelling doaj-art-d838c49bbd41433d88d5040179a4e70b2025-01-24T13:21:24ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172025-01-0115293610.3390/app15020936Probabilistic Analysis of Infinite Slope Stability Considering Variation in Soil DepthTaejin Kim0Taeho Bong1Donggeun Kim2Department of Forest Engineering, Resources and Management, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USADepartment of Forest Science, Chungbuk National University, Cheongju 28644, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Agricultural and Rural Engineering, Chungbuk National University, Cheongju 28644, Republic of KoreaIn probabilistic slope stability analysis, soil depth has been treated as a deterministic variable, although it is a highly variable parameter. This study aims to identify soil depth variability using seismic refraction survey data and to analyze its impact on probabilistic analysis of slope stability. Seismic refraction survey data were collected from 70 slopes in South Korea and employed to identify the variability of soil depth within natural slopes. As a result, the average soil depth across 70 slopes was 2.5 m, with an average coefficient of variation (COV) of 29%, indicating high variability. To investigate the influence of soil depth variability on the probability of slope failure, probabilistic slope stability analysis was conducted by considering the shear strength parameters of soil and soil depth as random variables. Accordingly, the influences of the variability of soil depth on the probabilistic analysis of slope stability were evaluated by comparing the probability of slope failure and distribution of the failure occurrence frequency by depth. Additionally, global sensitivity analysis was conducted to understand the relative contribution of input parameters on the probability of slope failure. Consequently, the probability of slope failure can vary significantly depending on soil depth variability, emphasizing the importance of considering this factor in probabilistic slope stability analysis.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/936soil depthseismic refraction surveyslope stabilityprobabilistic analysisglobal sensitivity analysis
spellingShingle Taejin Kim
Taeho Bong
Donggeun Kim
Probabilistic Analysis of Infinite Slope Stability Considering Variation in Soil Depth
Applied Sciences
soil depth
seismic refraction survey
slope stability
probabilistic analysis
global sensitivity analysis
title Probabilistic Analysis of Infinite Slope Stability Considering Variation in Soil Depth
title_full Probabilistic Analysis of Infinite Slope Stability Considering Variation in Soil Depth
title_fullStr Probabilistic Analysis of Infinite Slope Stability Considering Variation in Soil Depth
title_full_unstemmed Probabilistic Analysis of Infinite Slope Stability Considering Variation in Soil Depth
title_short Probabilistic Analysis of Infinite Slope Stability Considering Variation in Soil Depth
title_sort probabilistic analysis of infinite slope stability considering variation in soil depth
topic soil depth
seismic refraction survey
slope stability
probabilistic analysis
global sensitivity analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/936
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