Association of Septic Shock with Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Wuhan, China

Purpose. Septic shock is a severe complication of COVID-19 patients. We aim to identify risk factors associated with septic shock and mortality among COVID-19 patients. Methods. A total of 212 COVID-19 confirmed patients in Wuhan were included in this retrospective study. Clinical outcomes were desi...

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Main Authors: Shaoqiu Chen, Zitong Gao, Ling Hu, Yi Zuo, Yuanyuan Fu, Meilin Wei, Emory Zitello, Gang Huang, Youping Deng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Advances in Virology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3178283
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author Shaoqiu Chen
Zitong Gao
Ling Hu
Yi Zuo
Yuanyuan Fu
Meilin Wei
Emory Zitello
Gang Huang
Youping Deng
author_facet Shaoqiu Chen
Zitong Gao
Ling Hu
Yi Zuo
Yuanyuan Fu
Meilin Wei
Emory Zitello
Gang Huang
Youping Deng
author_sort Shaoqiu Chen
collection DOAJ
description Purpose. Septic shock is a severe complication of COVID-19 patients. We aim to identify risk factors associated with septic shock and mortality among COVID-19 patients. Methods. A total of 212 COVID-19 confirmed patients in Wuhan were included in this retrospective study. Clinical outcomes were designated as nonseptic shock and septic shock. Log-rank test was conducted to determine any association with clinical progression. A prediction model was established using random forest. Results. The mortality of septic shock and nonshock patients with COVID-19 was 96.7% (29/30) and 3.8% (7/182). Patients taking hypnotics had a much lower chance to develop septic shock (HR = 0.096, p=0.0014). By univariate logistic regression analysis, 40 risk factors were significantly associated with septic shock. Based on multiple regression analysis, eight risk factors were shown to be independent risk factors and these factors were then selected to build a model to predict septic shock with AUC = 0.956. These eight factors included disease severity (HR = 15, p<0.001), age > 65 years (HR = 2.6, p=0.012), temperature > 39.1°C (HR = 2.9, p=0.047), white blood cell count > 10 × 10⁹ (HR = 6.9, p<0.001), neutrophil count > 75 × 10⁹ (HR = 2.4, p=0.022), creatine kinase > 5 U/L (HR = 1.8, p=0.042), glucose > 6.1 mmol/L (HR = 7, p<0.001), and lactate > 2 mmol/L (HR = 22, p<0.001). Conclusions. We found 40 risk factors were significantly associated with septic shock. The model contained eight independent factors that can accurately predict septic shock. The administration of hypnotics could potentially reduce the incidence of septic shock in COVID-19 patients.
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spelling doaj-art-d67ee795db1c4070894091e015e5d6732025-02-03T05:53:40ZengWileyAdvances in Virology1687-86472022-01-01202210.1155/2022/3178283Association of Septic Shock with Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Wuhan, ChinaShaoqiu Chen0Zitong Gao1Ling Hu2Yi Zuo3Yuanyuan Fu4Meilin Wei5Emory Zitello6Gang Huang7Youping Deng8Department of Quantitative Health SciencesDepartment of Quantitative Health SciencesTianyou HospitalTianyou HospitalDepartment of Quantitative Health SciencesDepartment of Metabolism and EndocrinologyDepartment of Quantitative Health SciencesShanghai Key Laboratory for Molecular ImagingDepartment of Quantitative Health SciencesPurpose. Septic shock is a severe complication of COVID-19 patients. We aim to identify risk factors associated with septic shock and mortality among COVID-19 patients. Methods. A total of 212 COVID-19 confirmed patients in Wuhan were included in this retrospective study. Clinical outcomes were designated as nonseptic shock and septic shock. Log-rank test was conducted to determine any association with clinical progression. A prediction model was established using random forest. Results. The mortality of septic shock and nonshock patients with COVID-19 was 96.7% (29/30) and 3.8% (7/182). Patients taking hypnotics had a much lower chance to develop septic shock (HR = 0.096, p=0.0014). By univariate logistic regression analysis, 40 risk factors were significantly associated with septic shock. Based on multiple regression analysis, eight risk factors were shown to be independent risk factors and these factors were then selected to build a model to predict septic shock with AUC = 0.956. These eight factors included disease severity (HR = 15, p<0.001), age > 65 years (HR = 2.6, p=0.012), temperature > 39.1°C (HR = 2.9, p=0.047), white blood cell count > 10 × 10⁹ (HR = 6.9, p<0.001), neutrophil count > 75 × 10⁹ (HR = 2.4, p=0.022), creatine kinase > 5 U/L (HR = 1.8, p=0.042), glucose > 6.1 mmol/L (HR = 7, p<0.001), and lactate > 2 mmol/L (HR = 22, p<0.001). Conclusions. We found 40 risk factors were significantly associated with septic shock. The model contained eight independent factors that can accurately predict septic shock. The administration of hypnotics could potentially reduce the incidence of septic shock in COVID-19 patients.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3178283
spellingShingle Shaoqiu Chen
Zitong Gao
Ling Hu
Yi Zuo
Yuanyuan Fu
Meilin Wei
Emory Zitello
Gang Huang
Youping Deng
Association of Septic Shock with Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Wuhan, China
Advances in Virology
title Association of Septic Shock with Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Wuhan, China
title_full Association of Septic Shock with Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Wuhan, China
title_fullStr Association of Septic Shock with Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Wuhan, China
title_full_unstemmed Association of Septic Shock with Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Wuhan, China
title_short Association of Septic Shock with Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Wuhan, China
title_sort association of septic shock with mortality in hospitalized covid 19 patients in wuhan china
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3178283
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