The molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromes

Abstract Background Molecular-clinical prognostic models for Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) offer more accurate prognosis predictions, yet existing models often overlook the heterogeneity of mutational profiles against the cytogenetic background. Moreover, how to apply these models in regions where...

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Main Authors: Wei Wang, Yudi Zhang, Wenli Yang, Xiaozhen Liu, Lingxu Jiang, Wei Lang, Yingwan Luo, Xinping Zhou, Lu Wang, Li Ye, Ying Xu, Liya Ma, Hongyan Tong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:Journal of Translational Medicine
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-024-05995-x
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author Wei Wang
Yudi Zhang
Wenli Yang
Xiaozhen Liu
Lingxu Jiang
Wei Lang
Yingwan Luo
Xinping Zhou
Lu Wang
Li Ye
Ying Xu
Liya Ma
Hongyan Tong
author_facet Wei Wang
Yudi Zhang
Wenli Yang
Xiaozhen Liu
Lingxu Jiang
Wei Lang
Yingwan Luo
Xinping Zhou
Lu Wang
Li Ye
Ying Xu
Liya Ma
Hongyan Tong
author_sort Wei Wang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Molecular-clinical prognostic models for Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) offer more accurate prognosis predictions, yet existing models often overlook the heterogeneity of mutational profiles against the cytogenetic background. Moreover, how to apply these models in regions where large panel NGS is unaffordable remains a significant challenge to be addressed. Methods A total of 237 NK MDS patients from our center were used as the training set to screen for key variables and develop a prognostic model with overall survival (OS) as the endpoint. The C-index was used as the main evaluation metric to assess the model’s performance. The IWG-PM cohort (n = 691) was used as an external independent validation set to evaluate the generalizability of the model. Results We developed a seven-parameter molecular-clinical prognostic model, the Molecular Prognostic Scoring System for NK MDS (NK-PSS-M), which only incorporates three gene mutations as parameters. The NK-PSS-M can reliably predict OS and leukemia-free survival (LFS). The performance of NK-PSS-M was comparable to that of the Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-M), and it significantly outperformed the Revised International Prognostic Scoring System for MDS (IPSS-R). Conclusions The NK-PSS-M model improved the risk stratification of non-molecular models and provided a reliable alternative to the IPSS-M. This strategy provides insights into how resource-scarce regions can apply molecular-clinical models.
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spelling doaj-art-d6655edd334945de9725aa86354f12e52025-01-19T12:37:15ZengBMCJournal of Translational Medicine1479-58762025-01-0123111410.1186/s12967-024-05995-xThe molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromesWei Wang0Yudi Zhang1Wenli Yang2Xiaozhen Liu3Lingxu Jiang4Wei Lang5Yingwan Luo6Xinping Zhou7Lu Wang8Li Ye9Ying Xu10Liya Ma11Hongyan Tong12Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineDepartment of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of MedicineAbstract Background Molecular-clinical prognostic models for Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) offer more accurate prognosis predictions, yet existing models often overlook the heterogeneity of mutational profiles against the cytogenetic background. Moreover, how to apply these models in regions where large panel NGS is unaffordable remains a significant challenge to be addressed. Methods A total of 237 NK MDS patients from our center were used as the training set to screen for key variables and develop a prognostic model with overall survival (OS) as the endpoint. The C-index was used as the main evaluation metric to assess the model’s performance. The IWG-PM cohort (n = 691) was used as an external independent validation set to evaluate the generalizability of the model. Results We developed a seven-parameter molecular-clinical prognostic model, the Molecular Prognostic Scoring System for NK MDS (NK-PSS-M), which only incorporates three gene mutations as parameters. The NK-PSS-M can reliably predict OS and leukemia-free survival (LFS). The performance of NK-PSS-M was comparable to that of the Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-M), and it significantly outperformed the Revised International Prognostic Scoring System for MDS (IPSS-R). Conclusions The NK-PSS-M model improved the risk stratification of non-molecular models and provided a reliable alternative to the IPSS-M. This strategy provides insights into how resource-scarce regions can apply molecular-clinical models.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-024-05995-x
spellingShingle Wei Wang
Yudi Zhang
Wenli Yang
Xiaozhen Liu
Lingxu Jiang
Wei Lang
Yingwan Luo
Xinping Zhou
Lu Wang
Li Ye
Ying Xu
Liya Ma
Hongyan Tong
The molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromes
Journal of Translational Medicine
title The molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromes
title_full The molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromes
title_fullStr The molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromes
title_full_unstemmed The molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromes
title_short The molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromes
title_sort molecular prognostic scoring system for normal karyotype myelodysplastic syndromes
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-024-05995-x
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