Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis

ObjectiveThis study aimed to explore the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for outcomes in Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) patients.MethodsPubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science were conducted to search literature up to May 2024 and cohort and case–control...

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Main Authors: Fuyu Guo, Jiamei Chen, Hengkai Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Medicine
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2025.1503614/full
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author Fuyu Guo
Jiamei Chen
Hengkai Zhang
author_facet Fuyu Guo
Jiamei Chen
Hengkai Zhang
author_sort Fuyu Guo
collection DOAJ
description ObjectiveThis study aimed to explore the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for outcomes in Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) patients.MethodsPubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science were conducted to search literature up to May 2024 and cohort and case–control studies were included. The primary outcomes were mortality and progression-free survival (PFS). Pooled odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model. We conducted sensitivity analyses to assess result stability, reliability, and subgroup analyses to identify sources of heterogeneity using Review Manager 5.4.1. Egger’s tests were performed with Stata 15.1, and funnel plots were generated using Review Manager 5.4.1. Microsoft Excel was used for the initial data summarization.ResultsFourteen studies involving 30,752 AIDS patients were included. The pooled data showed higher NLR significantly associated with increased mortality (OR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.43–2.41, p < 0.00001) and shorter progression-free survival (PFS) (HR: 2.46, 95% CI: 1.32–4.59, p = 0.005). Subgroup analyses revealed that NLR’s predictive value was greater in studies with post-ART measurements. Sensitivity analyses show stable and reliable results. Egger’s test and funnel plot analysis revealed no significant publication bias.ConclusionNLR is a key prognostic biomarker for predicting mortality and progression-free survival (PFS) in AIDS patients. Incorporating NLR into predictive models may improve prognostic assessments and guide clinical decision-making.Systematic Review RegistrationPROSPERO (CRD42024532918: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO).
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spelling doaj-art-d63c588195554b4389f2edc46472af1a2025-02-05T07:32:32ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Medicine2296-858X2025-02-011210.3389/fmed.2025.15036141503614Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysisFuyu Guo0Jiamei Chen1Hengkai Zhang2The Second Clinical Medical College of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaSchool of Public Health, Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaChina-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaObjectiveThis study aimed to explore the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for outcomes in Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) patients.MethodsPubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science were conducted to search literature up to May 2024 and cohort and case–control studies were included. The primary outcomes were mortality and progression-free survival (PFS). Pooled odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model. We conducted sensitivity analyses to assess result stability, reliability, and subgroup analyses to identify sources of heterogeneity using Review Manager 5.4.1. Egger’s tests were performed with Stata 15.1, and funnel plots were generated using Review Manager 5.4.1. Microsoft Excel was used for the initial data summarization.ResultsFourteen studies involving 30,752 AIDS patients were included. The pooled data showed higher NLR significantly associated with increased mortality (OR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.43–2.41, p < 0.00001) and shorter progression-free survival (PFS) (HR: 2.46, 95% CI: 1.32–4.59, p = 0.005). Subgroup analyses revealed that NLR’s predictive value was greater in studies with post-ART measurements. Sensitivity analyses show stable and reliable results. Egger’s test and funnel plot analysis revealed no significant publication bias.ConclusionNLR is a key prognostic biomarker for predicting mortality and progression-free survival (PFS) in AIDS patients. Incorporating NLR into predictive models may improve prognostic assessments and guide clinical decision-making.Systematic Review RegistrationPROSPERO (CRD42024532918: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO).https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2025.1503614/fullHIVAIDSNLRprognosismeta-analysismortality
spellingShingle Fuyu Guo
Jiamei Chen
Hengkai Zhang
Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Frontiers in Medicine
HIV
AIDS
NLR
prognosis
meta-analysis
mortality
title Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_fullStr Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full_unstemmed Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_short Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_sort predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the clinical outcomes of acquired immune deficiency syndrome a systematic review and meta analysis
topic HIV
AIDS
NLR
prognosis
meta-analysis
mortality
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2025.1503614/full
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