The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports

In this study, for the 2012M1-2020M1 period, the relationship between Poland’s real effective exchange rate and its food and animal exports were examined by the bounds test. The stationary analyses of variables were examined by the ADF and PP tests. According to the results of a cointegration test,...

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Main Authors: Yılmaz Toktaş, Agnieszka Parlinska
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Warsaw University of Life Sciences Press 2020-12-01
Series:Zeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
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Online Access:https://prs.sggw.edu.pl/article/view/2616
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author Yılmaz Toktaş
Agnieszka Parlinska
author_facet Yılmaz Toktaş
Agnieszka Parlinska
author_sort Yılmaz Toktaş
collection DOAJ
description In this study, for the 2012M1-2020M1 period, the relationship between Poland’s real effective exchange rate and its food and animal exports were examined by the bounds test. The stationary analyses of variables were examined by the ADF and PP tests. According to the results of a cointegration test, a cointegration relation among the real effective exchange rate, food and live animal exports, as well as industrial production was determined. It was also concluded that the real effective exchange rate has a long-term negative impact on Poland's food and live animal exports. This research also established that a 1% increase in the real effective exchange rate in the long-term would decrease Poland's food and animal exports by 3.091%. Also, industrial production has a positive impact on Poland’s food and animal exports, as expected. It was determined that a 1% increase in industrial production would increase Poland’s food and animal exports by 2.803%. On the other hand, the error correction term coefficient was found to be -0.119, indicating that 11% of the imbalance in the short-term will be recovered in the next period.
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publishDate 2020-12-01
publisher Warsaw University of Life Sciences Press
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series Zeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
spelling doaj-art-d5998cc2add34782ab7ece83c076ce9b2025-02-04T10:43:10ZengWarsaw University of Life Sciences PressZeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego2081-69602544-06592020-12-0120410.22630/PRS.2020.20.4.21The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal ExportsYılmaz Toktaş0Agnieszka Parlinska1Amasya University, TurkeyWarsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW, PolandIn this study, for the 2012M1-2020M1 period, the relationship between Poland’s real effective exchange rate and its food and animal exports were examined by the bounds test. The stationary analyses of variables were examined by the ADF and PP tests. According to the results of a cointegration test, a cointegration relation among the real effective exchange rate, food and live animal exports, as well as industrial production was determined. It was also concluded that the real effective exchange rate has a long-term negative impact on Poland's food and live animal exports. This research also established that a 1% increase in the real effective exchange rate in the long-term would decrease Poland's food and animal exports by 3.091%. Also, industrial production has a positive impact on Poland’s food and animal exports, as expected. It was determined that a 1% increase in industrial production would increase Poland’s food and animal exports by 2.803%. On the other hand, the error correction term coefficient was found to be -0.119, indicating that 11% of the imbalance in the short-term will be recovered in the next period.https://prs.sggw.edu.pl/article/view/2616exchange rateARDL bounds test analysistime series analysisfood and live animal exportscointegration
spellingShingle Yılmaz Toktaş
Agnieszka Parlinska
The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports
Zeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
exchange rate
ARDL bounds test analysis
time series analysis
food and live animal exports
cointegration
title The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports
title_full The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports
title_fullStr The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports
title_short The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports
title_sort impact of the real effective exchange rate on poland s food and live animal exports
topic exchange rate
ARDL bounds test analysis
time series analysis
food and live animal exports
cointegration
url https://prs.sggw.edu.pl/article/view/2616
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AT agnieszkaparlinska theimpactoftherealeffectiveexchangerateonpolandsfoodandliveanimalexports
AT yılmaztoktas impactoftherealeffectiveexchangerateonpolandsfoodandliveanimalexports
AT agnieszkaparlinska impactoftherealeffectiveexchangerateonpolandsfoodandliveanimalexports