The asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Evidence from Nigeria

The linear relationship between exchange rates and domestic prices has been extensively researched but little is known about their asymmetric relationship, particularly in Nigeria. This study examined nominal exchange rate passthrough to domestic prices using the official and parallel marke...

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Main Authors: Aminu Alarudeen, Afolabi Joshua Adeyemi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Economics, Belgrade 2024-01-01
Series:Ekonomski Anali
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2024/0013-32642443117A.pdf
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author Aminu Alarudeen
Afolabi Joshua Adeyemi
author_facet Aminu Alarudeen
Afolabi Joshua Adeyemi
author_sort Aminu Alarudeen
collection DOAJ
description The linear relationship between exchange rates and domestic prices has been extensively researched but little is known about their asymmetric relationship, particularly in Nigeria. This study examined nominal exchange rate passthrough to domestic prices using the official and parallel market exchange rates. The non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) estimation technique was adopted to analyse data of relevant variables from 2011M1 to 2021M3. The results showed that the parallel market exchange rate, not the official exchange rate, is the driver of domestic prices in Nigeria due to the huge discrepancies in the two rates, which economic agents exploit to their advantage. The Wald test results confirmed the existence of short-run asymmetry between parallel market exchange rates and domestic prices in Nigeria. This suggests the need for the Nigerian monetary authorities to close the gap between the official and parallel market exchange rates to minimise arbitrage.
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spelling doaj-art-d3e1611101eb45d0bc7927ea65115b192025-01-30T06:44:59ZengFaculty of Economics, BelgradeEkonomski Anali0013-32641820-73752024-01-016924311714110.2298/EKA2443117A0013-32642443117AThe asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Evidence from NigeriaAminu Alarudeen0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9808-3398Afolabi Joshua Adeyemi1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2024-3942Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management Sciences, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, NigeriaInnovation and Technology Policy Department, Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research, Ibadan, NigeriaThe linear relationship between exchange rates and domestic prices has been extensively researched but little is known about their asymmetric relationship, particularly in Nigeria. This study examined nominal exchange rate passthrough to domestic prices using the official and parallel market exchange rates. The non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) estimation technique was adopted to analyse data of relevant variables from 2011M1 to 2021M3. The results showed that the parallel market exchange rate, not the official exchange rate, is the driver of domestic prices in Nigeria due to the huge discrepancies in the two rates, which economic agents exploit to their advantage. The Wald test results confirmed the existence of short-run asymmetry between parallel market exchange rates and domestic prices in Nigeria. This suggests the need for the Nigerian monetary authorities to close the gap between the official and parallel market exchange rates to minimise arbitrage.https://doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2024/0013-32642443117A.pdfexchange rate passthroughdomestic pricescentral bank of nigeriaparallel marketnon-linear autoregressive distributed lag
spellingShingle Aminu Alarudeen
Afolabi Joshua Adeyemi
The asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Evidence from Nigeria
Ekonomski Anali
exchange rate passthrough
domestic prices
central bank of nigeria
parallel market
non-linear autoregressive distributed lag
title The asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Evidence from Nigeria
title_full The asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Evidence from Nigeria
title_fullStr The asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Evidence from Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed The asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Evidence from Nigeria
title_short The asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Evidence from Nigeria
title_sort asymmetric effect of exchange rate pass through to domestic prices evidence from nigeria
topic exchange rate passthrough
domestic prices
central bank of nigeria
parallel market
non-linear autoregressive distributed lag
url https://doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2024/0013-32642443117A.pdf
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