Increasing atmospheric evaporative demand across the Tibetan plateau and implications for surface water resources

Summary: The Tibetan Plateau, known as the “Asian water tower,” is a hotspot for complex hydroclimatic changes. We reveal that the previously decreasing atmospheric evaporative demand (Eo) trend at the end of the 20th century has reversed over the last two decades. Although both wind stilling and so...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shiqin Xu, Dennis P. Lettenmaier, Tim R. McVicar, Pierre Gentine, Hylke E. Beck, Joshua B. Fisher, Zhongbo Yu, Ningpeng Dong, Akash Koppa, Matthew F. McCabe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:iScience
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004224028505
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Summary: The Tibetan Plateau, known as the “Asian water tower,” is a hotspot for complex hydroclimatic changes. We reveal that the previously decreasing atmospheric evaporative demand (Eo) trend at the end of the 20th century has reversed over the last two decades. Although both wind stilling and solar dimming have persisted, their effects on Eo rates have been overshadowed by increasing air temperatures and decreasing relative humidity, leading to a net rise in Eo for 1980−2015. Using the empirical “top-down” Budyko approach, we estimate that across seven sub-catchments draining the Tibetan Plateau, a 10% increase in annual-averaged precipitation, assuming all other factors remain constant, would lead to a 15%–19% increase in streamflow. Conversely, a 10% increase in annual-averaged Eo would decrease streamflow by 5%–9%. Our findings provide a deeper understanding of the accelerating hydroclimatic changes and their impact on surface water resources in the Tibetan Plateau.
ISSN:2589-0042