Total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice: The case of Great Britain

Summary: Heat pumps are essential for decarbonizing heating, as shown by numerous studies. Their adoption depends significantly on economic attractiveness. Using Great Britain (GB) as a case study, this paper examines the total cost of ownership (TCO) for heat pumps versus gas boilers. TCO is calcul...

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Main Authors: Jan Rosenow, Jacob Barnes, Ray Galvin, Samuel O'Mara, Richard Lowes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:iScience
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225000434
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author Jan Rosenow
Jacob Barnes
Ray Galvin
Samuel O'Mara
Richard Lowes
author_facet Jan Rosenow
Jacob Barnes
Ray Galvin
Samuel O'Mara
Richard Lowes
author_sort Jan Rosenow
collection DOAJ
description Summary: Heat pumps are essential for decarbonizing heating, as shown by numerous studies. Their adoption depends significantly on economic attractiveness. Using Great Britain (GB) as a case study, this paper examines the total cost of ownership (TCO) for heat pumps versus gas boilers. TCO is calculated using official energy statistics, field trial data, and residential energy prices, alongside scenario analyses on business as usual, shifting levies from electricity bills to general taxation or to gas bills. Findings reveal that heat pumps provide cost savings for units performing at an above-average efficiency under standard tariffs but yield significant savings with smart tariffs. Results indicate that a carbon tax on gas, matching electricity permit prices, has limited impact. However, shifting levies from electricity to general taxation significantly enhances TCO compared to gas heating, with even greater incentives when levies are shifted to gas heating.
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issn 2589-0042
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publishDate 2025-02-01
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spelling doaj-art-d38c58b535f74516af358c0b9b6c837d2025-01-26T05:04:35ZengElsevieriScience2589-00422025-02-01282111784Total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice: The case of Great BritainJan Rosenow0Jacob Barnes1Ray Galvin2Samuel O'Mara3Richard Lowes4University of Oxford, Environmental Change Institute, 3 South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK; University of Cambridge, Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership, Entopia Building 1 Regent Street, Cambridge CB2 1GG, UK; Corresponding authorUniversity of Oxford, Environmental Change Institute, 3 South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3QY, UKUniversity of Cambridge, Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership, Entopia Building 1 Regent Street, Cambridge CB2 1GG, UKGemserv, 2nd floor, 77 Gracechurch St, London EC3V 0AS, UKUniversity of Exeter, Energy Policy Group, Penryn Campus, Treliever Road, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UKSummary: Heat pumps are essential for decarbonizing heating, as shown by numerous studies. Their adoption depends significantly on economic attractiveness. Using Great Britain (GB) as a case study, this paper examines the total cost of ownership (TCO) for heat pumps versus gas boilers. TCO is calculated using official energy statistics, field trial data, and residential energy prices, alongside scenario analyses on business as usual, shifting levies from electricity bills to general taxation or to gas bills. Findings reveal that heat pumps provide cost savings for units performing at an above-average efficiency under standard tariffs but yield significant savings with smart tariffs. Results indicate that a carbon tax on gas, matching electricity permit prices, has limited impact. However, shifting levies from electricity to general taxation significantly enhances TCO compared to gas heating, with even greater incentives when levies are shifted to gas heating.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225000434Energy resourcesEnergy policyEconomics
spellingShingle Jan Rosenow
Jacob Barnes
Ray Galvin
Samuel O'Mara
Richard Lowes
Total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice: The case of Great Britain
iScience
Energy resources
Energy policy
Economics
title Total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice: The case of Great Britain
title_full Total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice: The case of Great Britain
title_fullStr Total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice: The case of Great Britain
title_full_unstemmed Total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice: The case of Great Britain
title_short Total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice: The case of Great Britain
title_sort total cost of ownership of heat pumps and policy choice the case of great britain
topic Energy resources
Energy policy
Economics
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225000434
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