A preoperative predictive model based on multi-modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patients

BackgroundThis study aimed to develop a multi-modality model by incorporating pretreatment computed tomography (CT) radiomics and pathomics features along with clinical variables to predict pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in patients with locally advanced esophag...

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Main Authors: Yana Qi, Yanran Hu, Chengting Lin, Ge Song, Liting Shi, Hui Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Immunology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1530279/full
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author Yana Qi
Yanran Hu
Chengting Lin
Ge Song
Liting Shi
Hui Zhu
author_facet Yana Qi
Yanran Hu
Chengting Lin
Ge Song
Liting Shi
Hui Zhu
author_sort Yana Qi
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundThis study aimed to develop a multi-modality model by incorporating pretreatment computed tomography (CT) radiomics and pathomics features along with clinical variables to predict pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer (EC).MethodA total of 223 EC patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy followed by surgical intervention between August 2021 and December 2023 were included in this study. Radiomics features were extracted from contrast-enhanced CT images using PyrRadiomics, while pathomics features were derived from whole-slide images (WSIs) of pathological specimens using a fine-tuned deep learning model (ResNet-50). After feature selection, three single-modality prediction models and a combined multi-modality model integrating two radiomics features, 11 pathomics features, and two clinicopathological features were constructed using the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm. The performance of the models were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Shapley values were also utilized to explain the prediction model.ResultsThe predictive capability of the multi-modality model in predicting pCR yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-1.00), outperforming the radiomics model (AUC 0.70 [95% CI 0.54-0.85]), pathomics model (AUC 0.77 [95% CI 0.53-1.00]), and clinical model (AUC 0.63 [95% CI 0.46-0.80]). Additionally, both the calibration plot and DCA curves support the clinical utility of the integrated multi-modality model.ConclusionsThe combined multi-modality model we propose can better predict the pCR status of esophageal cancer and help inform clinical treatment decisions.
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spelling doaj-art-d2224a94f16e4a54abaa28d38f8ea45e2025-01-27T06:40:41ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Immunology1664-32242025-01-011610.3389/fimmu.2025.15302791530279A preoperative predictive model based on multi-modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patientsYana Qi0Yanran Hu1Chengting Lin2Ge Song3Liting Shi4Hui Zhu5Department of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaDepartment of Pathology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaThe Second School of Clinical Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, ChinaBackgroundThis study aimed to develop a multi-modality model by incorporating pretreatment computed tomography (CT) radiomics and pathomics features along with clinical variables to predict pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer (EC).MethodA total of 223 EC patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy followed by surgical intervention between August 2021 and December 2023 were included in this study. Radiomics features were extracted from contrast-enhanced CT images using PyrRadiomics, while pathomics features were derived from whole-slide images (WSIs) of pathological specimens using a fine-tuned deep learning model (ResNet-50). After feature selection, three single-modality prediction models and a combined multi-modality model integrating two radiomics features, 11 pathomics features, and two clinicopathological features were constructed using the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm. The performance of the models were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Shapley values were also utilized to explain the prediction model.ResultsThe predictive capability of the multi-modality model in predicting pCR yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-1.00), outperforming the radiomics model (AUC 0.70 [95% CI 0.54-0.85]), pathomics model (AUC 0.77 [95% CI 0.53-1.00]), and clinical model (AUC 0.63 [95% CI 0.46-0.80]). Additionally, both the calibration plot and DCA curves support the clinical utility of the integrated multi-modality model.ConclusionsThe combined multi-modality model we propose can better predict the pCR status of esophageal cancer and help inform clinical treatment decisions.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1530279/fullpathological complete responseradiomicspathomicssupport vector machineesophageal cancer (EC)
spellingShingle Yana Qi
Yanran Hu
Chengting Lin
Ge Song
Liting Shi
Hui Zhu
A preoperative predictive model based on multi-modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patients
Frontiers in Immunology
pathological complete response
radiomics
pathomics
support vector machine
esophageal cancer (EC)
title A preoperative predictive model based on multi-modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patients
title_full A preoperative predictive model based on multi-modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patients
title_fullStr A preoperative predictive model based on multi-modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patients
title_full_unstemmed A preoperative predictive model based on multi-modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patients
title_short A preoperative predictive model based on multi-modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patients
title_sort preoperative predictive model based on multi modal features to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in esophageal cancer patients
topic pathological complete response
radiomics
pathomics
support vector machine
esophageal cancer (EC)
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2025.1530279/full
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