Impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model

An SEIR epidemic model with an arbitrarily distributed exposed stage is revisited to study the impact of heterogeneity on the spread of infectious diseases. The heterogeneity may come from age or behavior and disease stages, resulting in multi-group and multi-stage models, respectively. For each mod...

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Main Authors: Zhisheng Shuai, P. van den Driessche
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2012-02-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2012.9.393
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author Zhisheng Shuai
P. van den Driessche
author_facet Zhisheng Shuai
P. van den Driessche
author_sort Zhisheng Shuai
collection DOAJ
description An SEIR epidemic model with an arbitrarily distributed exposed stage is revisited to study the impact of heterogeneity on the spread of infectious diseases. The heterogeneity may come from age or behavior and disease stages, resulting in multi-group and multi-stage models, respectively. For each model, Lyapunov functionals are used to show that the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ gives a sharp threshold. If $\mathcal{R}_0\leq 1$, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease dies out from all groups or stages. If $\mathcal{R}_0>1$, then the disease persists in all groups or stages, and the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable.
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spelling doaj-art-d20d75f8ce614a58be48c05d0771e79b2025-01-24T02:05:29ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182012-02-019239341110.3934/mbe.2012.9.393Impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic modelZhisheng Shuai0P. van den Driessche1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria, B.C., V8W 3R4Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria, B.C., V8W 3R4An SEIR epidemic model with an arbitrarily distributed exposed stage is revisited to study the impact of heterogeneity on the spread of infectious diseases. The heterogeneity may come from age or behavior and disease stages, resulting in multi-group and multi-stage models, respectively. For each model, Lyapunov functionals are used to show that the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ gives a sharp threshold. If $\mathcal{R}_0\leq 1$, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease dies out from all groups or stages. If $\mathcal{R}_0>1$, then the disease persists in all groups or stages, and the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2012.9.393lyapunov functional.multi-group modelmulti-stage modelglobal stabilityseir modelheterogeneity
spellingShingle Zhisheng Shuai
P. van den Driessche
Impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
lyapunov functional.
multi-group model
multi-stage model
global stability
seir model
heterogeneity
title Impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model
title_full Impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model
title_fullStr Impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model
title_full_unstemmed Impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model
title_short Impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model
title_sort impact of heterogeneity on the dynamics of an seir epidemic model
topic lyapunov functional.
multi-group model
multi-stage model
global stability
seir model
heterogeneity
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2012.9.393
work_keys_str_mv AT zhishengshuai impactofheterogeneityonthedynamicsofanseirepidemicmodel
AT pvandendriessche impactofheterogeneityonthedynamicsofanseirepidemicmodel