Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease

Disease transmission depends on the interplay between theinfectious agent and the behavior of the host. Some diseases, suchas Chronic Wasting Disease, can be transmitted directly betweenhosts as well as indirectly via the environment. The socialbehavior of hosts affects both of these pathways, and a...

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Main Authors: Olga Vasilyeva, Tamer Oraby, Frithjof Lutscher
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2014-11-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2015.12.209
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author Olga Vasilyeva
Tamer Oraby
Frithjof Lutscher
author_facet Olga Vasilyeva
Tamer Oraby
Frithjof Lutscher
author_sort Olga Vasilyeva
collection DOAJ
description Disease transmission depends on the interplay between theinfectious agent and the behavior of the host. Some diseases, suchas Chronic Wasting Disease, can be transmitted directly betweenhosts as well as indirectly via the environment. The socialbehavior of hosts affects both of these pathways, and a successfulintervention requires knowledge of the relative influence of thedifferent etiological and behavioral aspects of the disease. Wedevelop a strategic differential equation model for ChronicWasting Disease and include direct and indirect transmission aswell as host aggregation into our model. We calculate the basicreproduction number and perform a sensitivity analysis based onLatin hypercube sampling from published parameter values. We findconditions for the existence of an endemic equilibrium, and showthat, under a certain mild assumption on parameters, the modeldoes not exhibit a backward bifurcation or bistability. Hence, thebasic reproduction number constitutes the disease eliminationthreshold. We find that the prevalence of the disease decreaseswith host aggregation and increases with the lifespan of theinfectious agent in the environment.
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spelling doaj-art-d1f7d235d9a141c8aacac4adc4e777162025-01-24T02:31:28ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182014-11-0112120923110.3934/mbe.2015.12.209Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting diseaseOlga Vasilyeva0Tamer Oraby1Frithjof Lutscher2Department of Mathematics, Christopher Newport University, 1 Avenue of the Arts, Newport News, VA 23606Department of Mathematics, The University of Texas-Pan American, 1201 W. University Drive, Edinburg, TX 78539Department of Mathematics, Univeristy of Ottawa, 585 King Edward, Ottawa, ON K1N 6N5Disease transmission depends on the interplay between theinfectious agent and the behavior of the host. Some diseases, suchas Chronic Wasting Disease, can be transmitted directly betweenhosts as well as indirectly via the environment. The socialbehavior of hosts affects both of these pathways, and a successfulintervention requires knowledge of the relative influence of thedifferent etiological and behavioral aspects of the disease. Wedevelop a strategic differential equation model for ChronicWasting Disease and include direct and indirect transmission aswell as host aggregation into our model. We calculate the basicreproduction number and perform a sensitivity analysis based onLatin hypercube sampling from published parameter values. We findconditions for the existence of an endemic equilibrium, and showthat, under a certain mild assumption on parameters, the modeldoes not exhibit a backward bifurcation or bistability. Hence, thebasic reproduction number constitutes the disease eliminationthreshold. We find that the prevalence of the disease decreaseswith host aggregation and increases with the lifespan of theinfectious agent in the environment.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2015.12.209disease free equilibriumchronic wasting diseaseenvironmental transmissionaggregationendemic equilibrium.
spellingShingle Olga Vasilyeva
Tamer Oraby
Frithjof Lutscher
Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
disease free equilibrium
chronic wasting disease
environmental transmission
aggregation
endemic equilibrium.
title Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease
title_full Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease
title_fullStr Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease
title_full_unstemmed Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease
title_short Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease
title_sort aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease
topic disease free equilibrium
chronic wasting disease
environmental transmission
aggregation
endemic equilibrium.
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2015.12.209
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