Fractional-Order Epidemic Model for Measles Infection

In this study, a nonlinear dynamic SEVIQR measles epidemic model is constructed and analyzed using the novel Caputo fractional-order derivative operator. The model’s existence and uniqueness are established. In addition, the model equilibria are determined, and the novel Jacobian determinant method...

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Main Authors: Philip N. A. Akuka, Baba Seidu, Eric Okyere, Stephen Abagna
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-01-01
Series:Scientifica
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/8997302
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author Philip N. A. Akuka
Baba Seidu
Eric Okyere
Stephen Abagna
author_facet Philip N. A. Akuka
Baba Seidu
Eric Okyere
Stephen Abagna
author_sort Philip N. A. Akuka
collection DOAJ
description In this study, a nonlinear dynamic SEVIQR measles epidemic model is constructed and analyzed using the novel Caputo fractional-order derivative operator. The model’s existence and uniqueness are established. In addition, the model equilibria are determined, and the novel Jacobian determinant method recently constructed in the literature of epidemiological modeling of infectious diseases is applied to determine the threshold quantity, R0. Furthermore, we construct appropriate Lyapunov functions to establish the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Finally, the numerical solution of the model is executed employing the efficient and widely known Adams-type predictor-corrector iterative scheme, and simulation is conducted to investigate the impact of memory index and diverse preventive measures on the occurrence of the disease. Numerical simulation of the model indicates that quarantine, vaccination, and treatment can reduce the numbers of infectious and exposed populations, thereby controlling the disease. Therefore, it is recommended that the government provide financial assistance for vaccine distribution.
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issn 2090-908X
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spelling doaj-art-d0f69d76502f4a19a73123d3340b9c012025-02-03T11:27:29ZengWileyScientifica2090-908X2024-01-01202410.1155/2024/8997302Fractional-Order Epidemic Model for Measles InfectionPhilip N. A. Akuka0Baba Seidu1Eric Okyere2Stephen Abagna3Department of MathematicsDepartment of MathematicsDepartment of Mathematics and StatisticsDepartment of MathematicsIn this study, a nonlinear dynamic SEVIQR measles epidemic model is constructed and analyzed using the novel Caputo fractional-order derivative operator. The model’s existence and uniqueness are established. In addition, the model equilibria are determined, and the novel Jacobian determinant method recently constructed in the literature of epidemiological modeling of infectious diseases is applied to determine the threshold quantity, R0. Furthermore, we construct appropriate Lyapunov functions to establish the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Finally, the numerical solution of the model is executed employing the efficient and widely known Adams-type predictor-corrector iterative scheme, and simulation is conducted to investigate the impact of memory index and diverse preventive measures on the occurrence of the disease. Numerical simulation of the model indicates that quarantine, vaccination, and treatment can reduce the numbers of infectious and exposed populations, thereby controlling the disease. Therefore, it is recommended that the government provide financial assistance for vaccine distribution.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/8997302
spellingShingle Philip N. A. Akuka
Baba Seidu
Eric Okyere
Stephen Abagna
Fractional-Order Epidemic Model for Measles Infection
Scientifica
title Fractional-Order Epidemic Model for Measles Infection
title_full Fractional-Order Epidemic Model for Measles Infection
title_fullStr Fractional-Order Epidemic Model for Measles Infection
title_full_unstemmed Fractional-Order Epidemic Model for Measles Infection
title_short Fractional-Order Epidemic Model for Measles Infection
title_sort fractional order epidemic model for measles infection
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/8997302
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AT babaseidu fractionalorderepidemicmodelformeaslesinfection
AT ericokyere fractionalorderepidemicmodelformeaslesinfection
AT stephenabagna fractionalorderepidemicmodelformeaslesinfection