Estimation the pH of CO2-saturated NaCl solutions using gene expression programming: Implications for CO2 sequestration

Carbon sequestration is a key method for reducing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), with ocean injection being particularly effective due to the oceans' capacity. However, this raises concerns about changes in water pH. Addressing the research gap in previous studies that utilized limited data,...

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Main Authors: Mohammad Rasool Dehghani, Parirokh Ebrahimi, Moein Kafi, Hamed Nikravesh, Yousef Kazemzadeh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Results in Engineering
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025001355
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author Mohammad Rasool Dehghani
Parirokh Ebrahimi
Moein Kafi
Hamed Nikravesh
Yousef Kazemzadeh
author_facet Mohammad Rasool Dehghani
Parirokh Ebrahimi
Moein Kafi
Hamed Nikravesh
Yousef Kazemzadeh
author_sort Mohammad Rasool Dehghani
collection DOAJ
description Carbon sequestration is a key method for reducing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), with ocean injection being particularly effective due to the oceans' capacity. However, this raises concerns about changes in water pH. Addressing the research gap in previous studies that utilized limited data, this study employs a large, diverse dataset for more accurate pH prediction under various environmental conditions. This study collected data to estimate the pH of pure water and brines saturated with CO2, including temperature, pressure, salinity, and pH. After ensuring proper data distribution and calculating statistical parameters, correlations between each input and the pH output were computed. Pressure had the highest correlation with pH, while temperature had the lowest and was the only parameter directly related to pH. The data was divided into training and testing sets, and a Gene Expression Programming model was developed and a simple correlation proposed. Various graphical and numerical methods evaluated the developed model. Error metrics for training and testing sets showed coefficient of determination values of 0.9037 and 0.9035, and root mean square error values of 0.1172 and 0.1182. Residual error plots indicated good performance across pressure, temperarure, salinity, and pH ranges. A cumulative frequency plot of absolute relative error showed all data points had errors below 0.102, with over 90 % below 0.0615. Kernel density estimation plots confirmed the model generally underestimated pH values. Sensitivity analysis using Spearman's correlation coefficients confirmed pressure had the highest and temperature had the lowest influence on pH output. The agreement between these coefficients and experimental data shows the model accurately mimics natural behaviors. This model provides valuable insights for predicting pH changes in CO2-saturated solutions, essential for carbon sequestration and related environmental studies. Understanding these changes helps assess environmental impacts and improve CO2 injection strategies for mitigating atmospheric CO2 levels.
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spelling doaj-art-cd5a777bd92244988c1a10c2dd8f21042025-01-27T04:22:09ZengElsevierResults in Engineering2590-12302025-03-0125104047Estimation the pH of CO2-saturated NaCl solutions using gene expression programming: Implications for CO2 sequestrationMohammad Rasool Dehghani0Parirokh Ebrahimi1Moein Kafi2Hamed Nikravesh3Yousef Kazemzadeh4Department of Petroleum Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum, Gas, and Petrochemical Engineering, Persian Gulf University, Bushehr, IranDepartment of Petroleum Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum, Gas, and Petrochemical Engineering, Persian Gulf University, Bushehr, IranDepartment of Petroleum Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum, Gas, and Petrochemical Engineering, Persian Gulf University, Bushehr, IranDepartment of Petroleum Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum, Gas, and Petrochemical Engineering, Persian Gulf University, Bushehr, IranCorresponding author.; Department of Petroleum Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum, Gas, and Petrochemical Engineering, Persian Gulf University, Bushehr, IranCarbon sequestration is a key method for reducing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), with ocean injection being particularly effective due to the oceans' capacity. However, this raises concerns about changes in water pH. Addressing the research gap in previous studies that utilized limited data, this study employs a large, diverse dataset for more accurate pH prediction under various environmental conditions. This study collected data to estimate the pH of pure water and brines saturated with CO2, including temperature, pressure, salinity, and pH. After ensuring proper data distribution and calculating statistical parameters, correlations between each input and the pH output were computed. Pressure had the highest correlation with pH, while temperature had the lowest and was the only parameter directly related to pH. The data was divided into training and testing sets, and a Gene Expression Programming model was developed and a simple correlation proposed. Various graphical and numerical methods evaluated the developed model. Error metrics for training and testing sets showed coefficient of determination values of 0.9037 and 0.9035, and root mean square error values of 0.1172 and 0.1182. Residual error plots indicated good performance across pressure, temperarure, salinity, and pH ranges. A cumulative frequency plot of absolute relative error showed all data points had errors below 0.102, with over 90 % below 0.0615. Kernel density estimation plots confirmed the model generally underestimated pH values. Sensitivity analysis using Spearman's correlation coefficients confirmed pressure had the highest and temperature had the lowest influence on pH output. The agreement between these coefficients and experimental data shows the model accurately mimics natural behaviors. This model provides valuable insights for predicting pH changes in CO2-saturated solutions, essential for carbon sequestration and related environmental studies. Understanding these changes helps assess environmental impacts and improve CO2 injection strategies for mitigating atmospheric CO2 levels.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025001355CO2 sequestrationpH predictionOceanMachine learningOptimization
spellingShingle Mohammad Rasool Dehghani
Parirokh Ebrahimi
Moein Kafi
Hamed Nikravesh
Yousef Kazemzadeh
Estimation the pH of CO2-saturated NaCl solutions using gene expression programming: Implications for CO2 sequestration
Results in Engineering
CO2 sequestration
pH prediction
Ocean
Machine learning
Optimization
title Estimation the pH of CO2-saturated NaCl solutions using gene expression programming: Implications for CO2 sequestration
title_full Estimation the pH of CO2-saturated NaCl solutions using gene expression programming: Implications for CO2 sequestration
title_fullStr Estimation the pH of CO2-saturated NaCl solutions using gene expression programming: Implications for CO2 sequestration
title_full_unstemmed Estimation the pH of CO2-saturated NaCl solutions using gene expression programming: Implications for CO2 sequestration
title_short Estimation the pH of CO2-saturated NaCl solutions using gene expression programming: Implications for CO2 sequestration
title_sort estimation the ph of co2 saturated nacl solutions using gene expression programming implications for co2 sequestration
topic CO2 sequestration
pH prediction
Ocean
Machine learning
Optimization
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025001355
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