Implementation of mathematics model in public health: Albanian case study

This article presents a detailed examination of the application of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) mathematical model in analyzing the COVID-19 pandemic in Albania. The study integrates the SIR model with real-world data, including vaccination rates and population statistics, to simulate t...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Besjana MEMA, Sabina TOSUNI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universul Academic 2024-04-01
Series:Smart Cities and Regional Development Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://scrd.eu/index.php/scrd/article/view/478
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:This article presents a detailed examination of the application of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) mathematical model in analyzing the COVID-19 pandemic in Albania. The study integrates the SIR model with real-world data, including vaccination rates and population statistics, to simulate the dynamics of the pandemic over a specified period. Our focus is on the comparison between the model's predictions and the actual epidemiological data from Albania, considering reported cases, recoveries, and fatalities. The simulation results are visualized through graphical representations, offering insights into the epidemic's progression and the effectiveness of public health interventions. This study also provides a projection for the year 2024, emphasizing the evolving nature of the pandemic and the role of mathematical modeling in public health decision-making. The comparison highlights the strengths and limitations of using the SIR model in real-world scenarios and underscores the importance of adaptive strategies in public health planning. This case study serves as an example of the critical role of mathematical models in understanding and managing public health crises.
ISSN:2537-3803
2821-7888