Prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modeling

Background: Inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is an aggressive and rare phenotype of breast cancer, which has a poor prognosis. Thus, it is necessary to establish a novel predictive model of high accuracy for the prognosis of IBC patients. Methods: Clinical information of 1,230 IBC patients from 2010...

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Main Authors: Yiwei Jia, Chaofan Li, Cong Feng, Shiyu Sun, Yifan Cai, Peizhuo Yao, Xinyu Wei, Zeyao Feng, Yanbin Liu, Wei Lv, Huizi Wu, Fei Wu, Lu Zhang, Shuqun Zhang, Xingcong Ma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Translational Oncology
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1936523324003723
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author Yiwei Jia
Chaofan Li
Cong Feng
Shiyu Sun
Yifan Cai
Peizhuo Yao
Xinyu Wei
Zeyao Feng
Yanbin Liu
Wei Lv
Huizi Wu
Fei Wu
Lu Zhang
Shuqun Zhang
Xingcong Ma
author_facet Yiwei Jia
Chaofan Li
Cong Feng
Shiyu Sun
Yifan Cai
Peizhuo Yao
Xinyu Wei
Zeyao Feng
Yanbin Liu
Wei Lv
Huizi Wu
Fei Wu
Lu Zhang
Shuqun Zhang
Xingcong Ma
author_sort Yiwei Jia
collection DOAJ
description Background: Inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is an aggressive and rare phenotype of breast cancer, which has a poor prognosis. Thus, it is necessary to establish a novel predictive model of high accuracy for the prognosis of IBC patients. Methods: Clinical information of 1,230 IBC patients from 2010 to 2020 was extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Cox analysis was applied to identify clinicopathological characteristics associated with the overall survival (OS) of IBC patients. Random survival forest (RSF) algorithm was adopted to construct an accurate prognostic prediction model for IBC patients. Kaplan–Meier analysis was performed for survival analyses. Results: Race, N stage, M stage, molecular subtype, history of chemotherapy and surgery, and response to neoadjuvant therapy were identified as independent predictive factors for the OS of IBC patients. The top five significant variables included surgery, response to neoadjuvant therapy, chemotherapy, breast cancer molecular subtypes, and M stage. The C-index of RSF model was 0.7704 and the area under curve (AUC) values for 1, 3, 5 years in training and validation datasets were 0.879–0.955, suggesting the excellent predictive performance of RSF model. IBC patients were divided into high-risk group and low-risk group according the risk score of RSF model, and the OS of patients in the low-risk group was significantly longer than those in the high-risk group. Conclusion: In this study, we constructed a prognosis prediction model for IBC patients through RSF algorithm, which may potentially serve as a useful tool during clinical decision-making.
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spelling doaj-art-c9d3a99234f947da981f1bd972ec3a552025-01-22T05:41:27ZengElsevierTranslational Oncology1936-52332025-02-0152102246Prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modelingYiwei Jia0Chaofan Li1Cong Feng2Shiyu Sun3Yifan Cai4Peizhuo Yao5Xinyu Wei6Zeyao Feng7Yanbin Liu8Wei Lv9Huizi Wu10Fei Wu11Lu Zhang12Shuqun Zhang13Xingcong Ma14The Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, ChinaDepartment of Tumor and Immunology in Precision Medical Institute, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, ChinaThe Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, China; Corresponding authors.The Comprehensive Breast Care Center, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710004, China; Corresponding authors.Background: Inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is an aggressive and rare phenotype of breast cancer, which has a poor prognosis. Thus, it is necessary to establish a novel predictive model of high accuracy for the prognosis of IBC patients. Methods: Clinical information of 1,230 IBC patients from 2010 to 2020 was extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Cox analysis was applied to identify clinicopathological characteristics associated with the overall survival (OS) of IBC patients. Random survival forest (RSF) algorithm was adopted to construct an accurate prognostic prediction model for IBC patients. Kaplan–Meier analysis was performed for survival analyses. Results: Race, N stage, M stage, molecular subtype, history of chemotherapy and surgery, and response to neoadjuvant therapy were identified as independent predictive factors for the OS of IBC patients. The top five significant variables included surgery, response to neoadjuvant therapy, chemotherapy, breast cancer molecular subtypes, and M stage. The C-index of RSF model was 0.7704 and the area under curve (AUC) values for 1, 3, 5 years in training and validation datasets were 0.879–0.955, suggesting the excellent predictive performance of RSF model. IBC patients were divided into high-risk group and low-risk group according the risk score of RSF model, and the OS of patients in the low-risk group was significantly longer than those in the high-risk group. Conclusion: In this study, we constructed a prognosis prediction model for IBC patients through RSF algorithm, which may potentially serve as a useful tool during clinical decision-making.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1936523324003723Inflammatory breast cancerRandom survival forestMachine learningSEER
spellingShingle Yiwei Jia
Chaofan Li
Cong Feng
Shiyu Sun
Yifan Cai
Peizhuo Yao
Xinyu Wei
Zeyao Feng
Yanbin Liu
Wei Lv
Huizi Wu
Fei Wu
Lu Zhang
Shuqun Zhang
Xingcong Ma
Prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modeling
Translational Oncology
Inflammatory breast cancer
Random survival forest
Machine learning
SEER
title Prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modeling
title_full Prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modeling
title_fullStr Prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modeling
title_full_unstemmed Prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modeling
title_short Prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modeling
title_sort prognostic prediction for inflammatory breast cancer patients using random survival forest modeling
topic Inflammatory breast cancer
Random survival forest
Machine learning
SEER
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1936523324003723
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