Estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in Catalonia, Spain
Objectives Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is an urgent notifiable disease and its early notification is essential to prevent cases. The objective of the study was to assess the sensitivity of two independent surveillance systems and to estimate the incidence of IMD.Design We used capture–recap...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
BMJ Publishing Group
2022-06-01
|
| Series: | BMJ Open |
| Online Access: | https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/6/e058003.full |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1832586958373650432 |
|---|---|
| author | Pilar Ciruela Carmen Munoz-Almagro Cristina Rius Tomas Pumarola Frederic Gomez-Bertomeu Núria Soldevila Ángela Domínguez LAURA RUIZ Ana Calderon Ana Martinez M Ángeles Domínguez Mercé Garcia Dionisia Fontanals Gloria Carmona Pere Godoy Goretti Sauca Jordi Vila Marta Vilaró Mireia Jané Tomás Garcia Sergi Hernández Maria Teresa Bastida Frederic Ballester Isabel Pujol Miguel Angel Benítez Alba Cebollero Jordi Bosch Margarida Curriu Fe Tubau Quintano Jose Manuel Ramirez Ma Jose Fusté Carme Gallés Pilar Hernandez Pérez ElisendaCapdevila GildeBernabe Paula Gassiot Araceli González-Cuevas Marius Juanpere Amaresch Perez Arguello Carmina Martí Nuria Margall Lurdes Matas Montserrat Giménez Montserrat Morta Gloria Trujillo Silvia Noguer Montserrat Olsina Amaia Oteiza Ubanell Pepa Perez Mar Olga Pérez-Moreno Juanjo Gonzales Xavier Raga Mercè Ribelles Esther Sanfeliu Isabel Sanfeliu Anna Vilamala César Arias Irene Barrabeig Neus Camps Mònica Carol Núria Follia Sofia Minguell Ignasi Parron Ma Rosa Sala-Farré Ariadna Rovira |
| author_facet | Pilar Ciruela Carmen Munoz-Almagro Cristina Rius Tomas Pumarola Frederic Gomez-Bertomeu Núria Soldevila Ángela Domínguez LAURA RUIZ Ana Calderon Ana Martinez M Ángeles Domínguez Mercé Garcia Dionisia Fontanals Gloria Carmona Pere Godoy Goretti Sauca Jordi Vila Marta Vilaró Mireia Jané Tomás Garcia Sergi Hernández Maria Teresa Bastida Frederic Ballester Isabel Pujol Miguel Angel Benítez Alba Cebollero Jordi Bosch Margarida Curriu Fe Tubau Quintano Jose Manuel Ramirez Ma Jose Fusté Carme Gallés Pilar Hernandez Pérez ElisendaCapdevila GildeBernabe Paula Gassiot Araceli González-Cuevas Marius Juanpere Amaresch Perez Arguello Carmina Martí Nuria Margall Lurdes Matas Montserrat Giménez Montserrat Morta Gloria Trujillo Silvia Noguer Montserrat Olsina Amaia Oteiza Ubanell Pepa Perez Mar Olga Pérez-Moreno Juanjo Gonzales Xavier Raga Mercè Ribelles Esther Sanfeliu Isabel Sanfeliu Anna Vilamala César Arias Irene Barrabeig Neus Camps Mònica Carol Núria Follia Sofia Minguell Ignasi Parron Ma Rosa Sala-Farré Ariadna Rovira |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Objectives Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is an urgent notifiable disease and its early notification is essential to prevent cases. The objective of the study was to assess the sensitivity of two independent surveillance systems and to estimate the incidence of IMD.Design We used capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems, the statutory disease reporting (SDR) system and the microbiological reporting system (MRS) of the Public Health Agency of Catalonia, between 2011 and 2015. The capture–recapture analysis and 95% CIs were calculated using the Chapman formula. Multivariate vector generalised linear model was performed for adjusted estimation.Measures The variables collected were age, sex, year of report, size of municipality (<10 000 and ≥10 000), clinical form, death, serogroup, country of birth and type of reporting centre (private and public).Results The sensitivity of the two combined surveillance systems was 88.5% (85.0–92.0). SDR had greater sensitivity than the MRS (67.9%; 62.7–73.1 vs 64.7%; 59.4–70.0). In 2014–2015, the sensitivity of both systems was higher (80.6%; 73.2–87.9 vs 73.4%; 65.2–81.6) than in 2011–2013 (59.3%; 52.6–66.0 vs 58.3%; 51.6–65.1). In private centres, the sensitivity was higher for SDR than for MRS (100%; 100–100 vs 4.8%; −4.4–13.9). The adjusted estimate of IMD cases was lower than that obtained using the Chapman formula (279; 266–296 vs 313; 295–330). The estimated adjusted incidence of IMD was 0.7/100 000 persons-year.Conclusions The sensitivity of enhanced surveillance through the combination of two complementary sources was higher than for the sources individually. Factors associated with under-reporting in different systems should be analysed to improve IMD surveillance. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-c7c80ddc5f3c46f48bbc77a0ee9a2f76 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2044-6055 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2022-06-01 |
| publisher | BMJ Publishing Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BMJ Open |
| spelling | doaj-art-c7c80ddc5f3c46f48bbc77a0ee9a2f762025-01-24T19:25:10ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552022-06-0112610.1136/bmjopen-2021-058003Estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in Catalonia, Spain 0Pilar Ciruela1Carmen Munoz-Almagro2Cristina RiusTomas Pumarola3Frederic Gomez-Bertomeu4Núria Soldevila5Ángela Domínguez6LAURA RUIZ7Ana CalderonAna MartinezM Ángeles DomínguezMercé GarciaDionisia FontanalsGloria Carmona8Pere GodoyGoretti SaucaJordi VilaMarta Vilaró9Mireia Jané10Tomás Garcia11Sergi Hernández12Maria Teresa BastidaFrederic BallesterIsabel PujolMiguel Angel BenítezAlba CebolleroJordi Bosch13Margarida CurriuFe Tubau QuintanoJose Manuel RamirezMa Jose FustéCarme GallésPilar Hernandez PérezElisendaCapdevila GildeBernabePaula GassiotAraceli González-CuevasMarius JuanpereAmaresch Perez ArguelloCarmina MartíNuria MargallLurdes MatasMontserrat GiménezMontserrat MortaGloria TrujilloSilvia NoguerMontserrat OlsinaAmaia Oteiza UbanellPepa PerezMar Olga Pérez-MorenoJuanjo GonzalesXavier RagaMercè RibellesEsther SanfeliuIsabel SanfeliuAnna VilamalaCésar AriasIrene BarrabeigNeus CampsMònica CarolNúria FolliaSofia MinguellIgnasi ParronMa Rosa Sala-FarréAriadna RovirapharmacologistPublic Health Secretariat, Department of Health, Generalitat de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain13 CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Madrid, Spain2 Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Microbiology, Hospital Universtari Joan XXIII, Institut Catala de la Salut (ICS), Tarragona, Catalunya, SpainCIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, SpainCIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, SpainPublic Health Agency of Catalonia (ASPCAT), Barcelona, Spain7 Andalusian Network for the Design and Translation of Advanced Therapies (And&tAT/RAdytTA) - Fundación Andaluza Progreso y Salud, MP. Junta de Andalucía, Seville, SpainCIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, SpainPublic Health Agency of Catalonia (ASPCAT), Barcelona, SpainPublic Health Agency of Catalonia (ASPCAT), Barcelona, SpainPublic Health Agency of Catalonia (ASPCAT), Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Clinical Microbiology, Biomedical Diagnostic Center (CDB), Hospital Clinic de Barcelona, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, SpainObjectives Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is an urgent notifiable disease and its early notification is essential to prevent cases. The objective of the study was to assess the sensitivity of two independent surveillance systems and to estimate the incidence of IMD.Design We used capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems, the statutory disease reporting (SDR) system and the microbiological reporting system (MRS) of the Public Health Agency of Catalonia, between 2011 and 2015. The capture–recapture analysis and 95% CIs were calculated using the Chapman formula. Multivariate vector generalised linear model was performed for adjusted estimation.Measures The variables collected were age, sex, year of report, size of municipality (<10 000 and ≥10 000), clinical form, death, serogroup, country of birth and type of reporting centre (private and public).Results The sensitivity of the two combined surveillance systems was 88.5% (85.0–92.0). SDR had greater sensitivity than the MRS (67.9%; 62.7–73.1 vs 64.7%; 59.4–70.0). In 2014–2015, the sensitivity of both systems was higher (80.6%; 73.2–87.9 vs 73.4%; 65.2–81.6) than in 2011–2013 (59.3%; 52.6–66.0 vs 58.3%; 51.6–65.1). In private centres, the sensitivity was higher for SDR than for MRS (100%; 100–100 vs 4.8%; −4.4–13.9). The adjusted estimate of IMD cases was lower than that obtained using the Chapman formula (279; 266–296 vs 313; 295–330). The estimated adjusted incidence of IMD was 0.7/100 000 persons-year.Conclusions The sensitivity of enhanced surveillance through the combination of two complementary sources was higher than for the sources individually. Factors associated with under-reporting in different systems should be analysed to improve IMD surveillance.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/6/e058003.full |
| spellingShingle | Pilar Ciruela Carmen Munoz-Almagro Cristina Rius Tomas Pumarola Frederic Gomez-Bertomeu Núria Soldevila Ángela Domínguez LAURA RUIZ Ana Calderon Ana Martinez M Ángeles Domínguez Mercé Garcia Dionisia Fontanals Gloria Carmona Pere Godoy Goretti Sauca Jordi Vila Marta Vilaró Mireia Jané Tomás Garcia Sergi Hernández Maria Teresa Bastida Frederic Ballester Isabel Pujol Miguel Angel Benítez Alba Cebollero Jordi Bosch Margarida Curriu Fe Tubau Quintano Jose Manuel Ramirez Ma Jose Fusté Carme Gallés Pilar Hernandez Pérez ElisendaCapdevila GildeBernabe Paula Gassiot Araceli González-Cuevas Marius Juanpere Amaresch Perez Arguello Carmina Martí Nuria Margall Lurdes Matas Montserrat Giménez Montserrat Morta Gloria Trujillo Silvia Noguer Montserrat Olsina Amaia Oteiza Ubanell Pepa Perez Mar Olga Pérez-Moreno Juanjo Gonzales Xavier Raga Mercè Ribelles Esther Sanfeliu Isabel Sanfeliu Anna Vilamala César Arias Irene Barrabeig Neus Camps Mònica Carol Núria Follia Sofia Minguell Ignasi Parron Ma Rosa Sala-Farré Ariadna Rovira Estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in Catalonia, Spain BMJ Open |
| title | Estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in Catalonia, Spain |
| title_full | Estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in Catalonia, Spain |
| title_fullStr | Estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in Catalonia, Spain |
| title_full_unstemmed | Estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in Catalonia, Spain |
| title_short | Estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture–recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in Catalonia, Spain |
| title_sort | estimation of the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease using a capture recapture model based on two independent surveillance systems in catalonia spain |
| url | https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/6/e058003.full |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT pilarciruela estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT carmenmunozalmagro estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT cristinarius estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT tomaspumarola estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT fredericgomezbertomeu estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT nuriasoldevila estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT angeladominguez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT lauraruiz estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT anacalderon estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT anamartinez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT mangelesdominguez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT mercegarcia estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT dionisiafontanals estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT gloriacarmona estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT peregodoy estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT gorettisauca estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT jordivila estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT martavilaro estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT mireiajane estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT tomasgarcia estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT sergihernandez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT mariateresabastida estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT fredericballester estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT isabelpujol estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT miguelangelbenitez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT albacebollero estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT jordibosch estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT margaridacurriu estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT fetubauquintano estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT josemanuelramirez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT majosefuste estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT carmegalles estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT pilarhernandezperez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT elisendacapdevilagildebernabe estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT paulagassiot estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT araceligonzalezcuevas estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT mariusjuanpere estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT amareschperezarguello estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT carminamarti estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT nuriamargall estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT lurdesmatas estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT montserratgimenez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT montserratmorta estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT gloriatrujillo estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT silvianoguer estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT montserratolsina estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT amaiaoteizaubanell estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT pepaperez estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT marolgaperezmoreno estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT juanjogonzales estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT xavierraga estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT merceribelles estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT esthersanfeliu estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT isabelsanfeliu estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT annavilamala estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT cesararias estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT irenebarrabeig estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT neuscamps estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT monicacarol estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT nuriafollia estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT sofiaminguell estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT ignasiparron estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT marosasalafarre estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain AT ariadnarovira estimationoftheincidenceofinvasivemeningococcaldiseaseusingacapturerecapturemodelbasedontwoindependentsurveillancesystemsincataloniaspain |