HPV Genotype Trends in Iran: Necessity for a Reevaluation of Prevention Strategies

Introduction: Human papillomavirus (HPV) genotyping is critical for preventing and managing HPV-related health issues, including cancers. This study re-evaluates HPV genotype trends in Iran to inform prevention strategies. Materials and Methods: A cross-sectional analysis of HPV genotyping data from...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Maryam Shahi, Azam Shafaei, Mohamad Ghodsi, Reza Jafarzadeh Esfehani, Mahdi Moradi Marjaneh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2414-6366/10/4/100
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Introduction: Human papillomavirus (HPV) genotyping is critical for preventing and managing HPV-related health issues, including cancers. This study re-evaluates HPV genotype trends in Iran to inform prevention strategies. Materials and Methods: A cross-sectional analysis of HPV genotyping data from individuals tested at the ACECR Khorasan Razavi molecular laboratory in Iran (2016–2022) was conducted, with a forecast of genotype trends through 2027. Results: Among 5009 female patients, 40.4% tested positive for HPV (mean age: 32 ± 8.77 years), with a significant upward trend in positivity over time (tau = 0.905, <i>p</i> = 0.0069). HPV 6, 11, 16, 31, 53, and 54 showed significant increases (<i>p</i> < 0.01), while HPV 66, 84, 67, and 35 exhibited notable trends (<i>p</i> < 0.05). HPV 18 and 33 had marginal trends (<i>p</i> = 0.065, <i>p</i> = 0.052), and HPV 68, 70, and 82 remained stable. Linear regression indicated a non-significant decline in low-risk HPV cases (R = 0.703, <i>p</i> = 0.078) and negligible change in high-risk cases (R = 0.052, <i>p</i> = 0.912). Forecasts predicted increases in HPV 84, 54, 43, 42, and 26, with HPV 6 projected to decrease significantly. HPV 44, 73, and 33 were expected to remain stable. Conclusion: While low-risk HPV cases may decline, the trend lacks statistical significance, and high-risk HPV cases show no change. These findings underscore the need for targeted prevention strategies in Iran, particularly for high-risk genotypes, to reduce the burden of HPV-related cancers. Further research is essential to validate these trends and refine public health interventions.
ISSN:2414-6366