Hybrid GNSS time-series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short-term memory

Abstract GNSS time series prediction plays a crucial role in monitoring crustal plate movements, dam deformation, and maintaining the global coordinate framework. To address the shortcomings of traditional GNSS time series prediction methods including insufficient feature selection, limited stabilit...

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Main Authors: Yu Zhou, Xiaoxing He, Shengdao Wang, Shunqiang Hu, Xiwen Sun, Jiahui Huang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2025-01-01
Series:Discover Applied Sciences
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-024-06409-9
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author Yu Zhou
Xiaoxing He
Shengdao Wang
Shunqiang Hu
Xiwen Sun
Jiahui Huang
author_facet Yu Zhou
Xiaoxing He
Shengdao Wang
Shunqiang Hu
Xiwen Sun
Jiahui Huang
author_sort Yu Zhou
collection DOAJ
description Abstract GNSS time series prediction plays a crucial role in monitoring crustal plate movements, dam deformation, and maintaining the global coordinate framework. To address the shortcomings of traditional GNSS time series prediction methods including insufficient feature selection, limited stability, and low predictive accuracy, this paper proposes a prediction model that combines the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm. The model utilizes the EEMD method to obtain reconstructed signals, which are then input as features into the LSTM model to predict the original time series. To validate the performance of the EEMD-LSTM combined model in GNSS time series prediction, experiments are conducted using time series data from 10 GNSS observation stations. The experimental results demonstrate that the EEMD model can accurately and effectively extract data features. Compared with the EMD-LSTM model, the EEMD-LSTM model achieves an average reduction of 28.32% in RMSE values, an average reduction of 28.52% in MAE values, and an average increase of 24.24% in R2 values. The EEMD-LSTM model exhibits higher predictive accuracy and a strong correlation with the original time series, thus demonstrating its capability to forecast target time series effectively. Therefore, this prediction model holds significant application value in GNSS time series prediction.
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issn 3004-9261
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publisher Springer
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spelling doaj-art-c6186581d7ab47a38d720b51ae7af4182025-02-02T12:36:41ZengSpringerDiscover Applied Sciences3004-92612025-01-017111310.1007/s42452-024-06409-9Hybrid GNSS time-series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short-term memoryYu Zhou0Xiaoxing He1Shengdao Wang2Shunqiang Hu3Xiwen Sun4Jiahui Huang5School of Civil and Surveying and Mapping Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and TechnologySchool of Civil and Surveying and Mapping Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and TechnologyDivision of Geodetic Science, School of Earth Sciences, The Ohio State UniversitySchool of Geography and Environment, Jiangxi Normal UniversitySchool of Geophysics and Measurement-control Technology, East China University of TechnologySchool of Civil and Surveying and Mapping Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and TechnologyAbstract GNSS time series prediction plays a crucial role in monitoring crustal plate movements, dam deformation, and maintaining the global coordinate framework. To address the shortcomings of traditional GNSS time series prediction methods including insufficient feature selection, limited stability, and low predictive accuracy, this paper proposes a prediction model that combines the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm. The model utilizes the EEMD method to obtain reconstructed signals, which are then input as features into the LSTM model to predict the original time series. To validate the performance of the EEMD-LSTM combined model in GNSS time series prediction, experiments are conducted using time series data from 10 GNSS observation stations. The experimental results demonstrate that the EEMD model can accurately and effectively extract data features. Compared with the EMD-LSTM model, the EEMD-LSTM model achieves an average reduction of 28.32% in RMSE values, an average reduction of 28.52% in MAE values, and an average increase of 24.24% in R2 values. The EEMD-LSTM model exhibits higher predictive accuracy and a strong correlation with the original time series, thus demonstrating its capability to forecast target time series effectively. Therefore, this prediction model holds significant application value in GNSS time series prediction.https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-024-06409-9GNSS height time seriesPrediction modelEEMDLSTM
spellingShingle Yu Zhou
Xiaoxing He
Shengdao Wang
Shunqiang Hu
Xiwen Sun
Jiahui Huang
Hybrid GNSS time-series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short-term memory
Discover Applied Sciences
GNSS height time series
Prediction model
EEMD
LSTM
title Hybrid GNSS time-series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short-term memory
title_full Hybrid GNSS time-series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short-term memory
title_fullStr Hybrid GNSS time-series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short-term memory
title_full_unstemmed Hybrid GNSS time-series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short-term memory
title_short Hybrid GNSS time-series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short-term memory
title_sort hybrid gnss time series prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition with long short term memory
topic GNSS height time series
Prediction model
EEMD
LSTM
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-024-06409-9
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AT xiaoxinghe hybridgnsstimeseriespredictionmethodbasedonensembleempiricalmodedecompositionwithlongshorttermmemory
AT shengdaowang hybridgnsstimeseriespredictionmethodbasedonensembleempiricalmodedecompositionwithlongshorttermmemory
AT shunqianghu hybridgnsstimeseriespredictionmethodbasedonensembleempiricalmodedecompositionwithlongshorttermmemory
AT xiwensun hybridgnsstimeseriespredictionmethodbasedonensembleempiricalmodedecompositionwithlongshorttermmemory
AT jiahuihuang hybridgnsstimeseriespredictionmethodbasedonensembleempiricalmodedecompositionwithlongshorttermmemory