Can Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Drive the Interdependence of Agricultural Commodity Prices? Evidence from Partial Wavelet Coherence Analysis

This paper employed wavelet coherence and partial wavelet coherence to investigate the time-frequency effect of global economic policy uncertainty on the comovement of five agricultural commodities such as maize, oat, rice, soybean, and wheat using monthly data from January 1997 to December 2019. In...

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Main Authors: Siaw Frimpong, Emmanuel N. Gyamfi, Zangina Ishaq, Samuel Kwaku Agyei, Daniel Agyapong, Anokye M. Adam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8848424
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author Siaw Frimpong
Emmanuel N. Gyamfi
Zangina Ishaq
Samuel Kwaku Agyei
Daniel Agyapong
Anokye M. Adam
author_facet Siaw Frimpong
Emmanuel N. Gyamfi
Zangina Ishaq
Samuel Kwaku Agyei
Daniel Agyapong
Anokye M. Adam
author_sort Siaw Frimpong
collection DOAJ
description This paper employed wavelet coherence and partial wavelet coherence to investigate the time-frequency effect of global economic policy uncertainty on the comovement of five agricultural commodities such as maize, oat, rice, soybean, and wheat using monthly data from January 1997 to December 2019. In general, we observed heterogeneity in comovement structures of the agricultural commodities market at different time-frequency scales which are profound at high frequencies from the bivariate wavelet coherence. The partial wavelet coherence analysis shows that global economic policy uncertainty is a driver of agricultural commodity market connectedness. This implies that extreme changes in economic policy uncertainty have the tendency to influence commodity price comovement. This poses risk to the stability of the agricultural commodities market, which requires the policymaker’s intervention to protect against the spillover risk contagion effect in uncertain times.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
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language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
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spelling doaj-art-c43c53a508104cb1a106dd9f5705d6fa2025-02-03T06:12:49ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/88484248848424Can Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Drive the Interdependence of Agricultural Commodity Prices? Evidence from Partial Wavelet Coherence AnalysisSiaw Frimpong0Emmanuel N. Gyamfi1Zangina Ishaq2Samuel Kwaku Agyei3Daniel Agyapong4Anokye M. Adam5Department of Finance, School of Business, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, GhanaGIMPA Business School, Accra, GhanaDepartment of Finance, School of Business, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, GhanaDepartment of Finance, School of Business, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, GhanaDepartment of Finance, School of Business, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, GhanaDepartment of Finance, School of Business, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, GhanaThis paper employed wavelet coherence and partial wavelet coherence to investigate the time-frequency effect of global economic policy uncertainty on the comovement of five agricultural commodities such as maize, oat, rice, soybean, and wheat using monthly data from January 1997 to December 2019. In general, we observed heterogeneity in comovement structures of the agricultural commodities market at different time-frequency scales which are profound at high frequencies from the bivariate wavelet coherence. The partial wavelet coherence analysis shows that global economic policy uncertainty is a driver of agricultural commodity market connectedness. This implies that extreme changes in economic policy uncertainty have the tendency to influence commodity price comovement. This poses risk to the stability of the agricultural commodities market, which requires the policymaker’s intervention to protect against the spillover risk contagion effect in uncertain times.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8848424
spellingShingle Siaw Frimpong
Emmanuel N. Gyamfi
Zangina Ishaq
Samuel Kwaku Agyei
Daniel Agyapong
Anokye M. Adam
Can Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Drive the Interdependence of Agricultural Commodity Prices? Evidence from Partial Wavelet Coherence Analysis
Complexity
title Can Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Drive the Interdependence of Agricultural Commodity Prices? Evidence from Partial Wavelet Coherence Analysis
title_full Can Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Drive the Interdependence of Agricultural Commodity Prices? Evidence from Partial Wavelet Coherence Analysis
title_fullStr Can Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Drive the Interdependence of Agricultural Commodity Prices? Evidence from Partial Wavelet Coherence Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Can Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Drive the Interdependence of Agricultural Commodity Prices? Evidence from Partial Wavelet Coherence Analysis
title_short Can Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Drive the Interdependence of Agricultural Commodity Prices? Evidence from Partial Wavelet Coherence Analysis
title_sort can global economic policy uncertainty drive the interdependence of agricultural commodity prices evidence from partial wavelet coherence analysis
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8848424
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