The Role of Journey Purpose in Road Traffic Injuries: A Bayesian Network Approach

Introduction. Road traffic injuries are now regarded as the eighth leading cause of death globally. For example, in 2016, 102,362 traffic injuries took place in Spain in which 174,679 drivers suffered injuries. These findings necessitated the development of the current study which focuses on the pri...

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Main Authors: Juan Diego Febres, Fatemeh Mohamadi, Miguel. A. Mariscal, S. Herrera, Susana García-Herrero
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/6031482
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author Juan Diego Febres
Fatemeh Mohamadi
Miguel. A. Mariscal
S. Herrera
Susana García-Herrero
author_facet Juan Diego Febres
Fatemeh Mohamadi
Miguel. A. Mariscal
S. Herrera
Susana García-Herrero
author_sort Juan Diego Febres
collection DOAJ
description Introduction. Road traffic injuries are now regarded as the eighth leading cause of death globally. For example, in 2016, 102,362 traffic injuries took place in Spain in which 174,679 drivers suffered injuries. These findings necessitated the development of the current study which focuses on the prime factors that cause this type of injuries. The aim of this study, therefore, is to explore the behavioral factors that entail a higher risk of suffering either a serious or a fatal injury for drivers. Methods. The findings are based on information and data provided by “Dirección General de Tráfico” (DGT) in Spain on traffic injuries that occurred in the year 2016. Reviewing a wide range of the literature, the authors identified the most influential variables and created a model using the Bayesian networks. The variables that define the model are grouped into four factors: vehicle factor, road factor, circumstantial factor and human factor. Results. The results suggest that the principal variables that determine a higher probability of serious or fatal injuries in traffic injuries are: lack of using appropriate safety accessories, high-speed violations, distractions as well as errors. Finally, the research shows the severity probability based on reason of displacement (“in itinere,” on business, or in leisure).
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spelling doaj-art-c39bab87585643e8a99d629a42d5319e2025-02-03T06:07:09ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952019-01-01201910.1155/2019/60314826031482The Role of Journey Purpose in Road Traffic Injuries: A Bayesian Network ApproachJuan Diego Febres0Fatemeh Mohamadi1Miguel. A. Mariscal2S. Herrera3Susana García-Herrero4Department of Chemistry and Exact Sciences, Universidad Técnica Particular de Loja, P.O. Box 11 01 608, Loja, EcuadorSchool of Architecture and Cities, University of Westminster, London, UKDepartamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Burgos, Avda. Cantabria s/n, Burgos 09006, SpainDepartment of Applied Mathematics & Comp Science, Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, SpainSchool of Architecture and Cities, University of Westminster, London, UKIntroduction. Road traffic injuries are now regarded as the eighth leading cause of death globally. For example, in 2016, 102,362 traffic injuries took place in Spain in which 174,679 drivers suffered injuries. These findings necessitated the development of the current study which focuses on the prime factors that cause this type of injuries. The aim of this study, therefore, is to explore the behavioral factors that entail a higher risk of suffering either a serious or a fatal injury for drivers. Methods. The findings are based on information and data provided by “Dirección General de Tráfico” (DGT) in Spain on traffic injuries that occurred in the year 2016. Reviewing a wide range of the literature, the authors identified the most influential variables and created a model using the Bayesian networks. The variables that define the model are grouped into four factors: vehicle factor, road factor, circumstantial factor and human factor. Results. The results suggest that the principal variables that determine a higher probability of serious or fatal injuries in traffic injuries are: lack of using appropriate safety accessories, high-speed violations, distractions as well as errors. Finally, the research shows the severity probability based on reason of displacement (“in itinere,” on business, or in leisure).http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/6031482
spellingShingle Juan Diego Febres
Fatemeh Mohamadi
Miguel. A. Mariscal
S. Herrera
Susana García-Herrero
The Role of Journey Purpose in Road Traffic Injuries: A Bayesian Network Approach
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title The Role of Journey Purpose in Road Traffic Injuries: A Bayesian Network Approach
title_full The Role of Journey Purpose in Road Traffic Injuries: A Bayesian Network Approach
title_fullStr The Role of Journey Purpose in Road Traffic Injuries: A Bayesian Network Approach
title_full_unstemmed The Role of Journey Purpose in Road Traffic Injuries: A Bayesian Network Approach
title_short The Role of Journey Purpose in Road Traffic Injuries: A Bayesian Network Approach
title_sort role of journey purpose in road traffic injuries a bayesian network approach
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/6031482
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