A Multimode Dynamic Short-Term Traffic Flow Grey Prediction Model of High-Dimension Tensors

Short-term traffic flow prediction is an important theoretical basis for intelligent transportation systems, and traffic flow data contain abundant multimode features and exhibit characteristic spatiotemporal correlations and dynamics. To predict the traffic flow state, it is necessary to design a m...

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Main Authors: Huiming Duan, Xinping Xiao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/9162163
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author Huiming Duan
Xinping Xiao
author_facet Huiming Duan
Xinping Xiao
author_sort Huiming Duan
collection DOAJ
description Short-term traffic flow prediction is an important theoretical basis for intelligent transportation systems, and traffic flow data contain abundant multimode features and exhibit characteristic spatiotemporal correlations and dynamics. To predict the traffic flow state, it is necessary to design a model that can adapt to changing traffic flow characteristics. Thus, a dynamic tensor rolling nonhomogeneous discrete grey model (DTRNDGM) is proposed. This model achieves rolling prediction by introducing a cycle truncation accumulated generating operation; furthermore, the proposed model is unbiased, and it can perfectly fit nonhomogeneous exponential sequences. In addition, based on the multimode characteristics of traffic flow data tensors and the relationship between the cycle truncation accumulated generating operation and matrix perturbation to determine the cycle of dynamic prediction, the proposed model compensates for the periodic verification of the RSDGM and SGM grey prediction models. Finally, traffic flow data from the main route of Shaoshan Road, Changsha, Hunan, China, are used as an example. The experimental results show that the simulation and prediction results of DTRNDGM are good.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-c2ac6f803a8f4cc6a411799f1da0e63c2025-02-03T00:59:03ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262019-01-01201910.1155/2019/91621639162163A Multimode Dynamic Short-Term Traffic Flow Grey Prediction Model of High-Dimension TensorsHuiming Duan0Xinping Xiao1School of Science, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, ChinaSchool of Science, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, ChinaShort-term traffic flow prediction is an important theoretical basis for intelligent transportation systems, and traffic flow data contain abundant multimode features and exhibit characteristic spatiotemporal correlations and dynamics. To predict the traffic flow state, it is necessary to design a model that can adapt to changing traffic flow characteristics. Thus, a dynamic tensor rolling nonhomogeneous discrete grey model (DTRNDGM) is proposed. This model achieves rolling prediction by introducing a cycle truncation accumulated generating operation; furthermore, the proposed model is unbiased, and it can perfectly fit nonhomogeneous exponential sequences. In addition, based on the multimode characteristics of traffic flow data tensors and the relationship between the cycle truncation accumulated generating operation and matrix perturbation to determine the cycle of dynamic prediction, the proposed model compensates for the periodic verification of the RSDGM and SGM grey prediction models. Finally, traffic flow data from the main route of Shaoshan Road, Changsha, Hunan, China, are used as an example. The experimental results show that the simulation and prediction results of DTRNDGM are good.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/9162163
spellingShingle Huiming Duan
Xinping Xiao
A Multimode Dynamic Short-Term Traffic Flow Grey Prediction Model of High-Dimension Tensors
Complexity
title A Multimode Dynamic Short-Term Traffic Flow Grey Prediction Model of High-Dimension Tensors
title_full A Multimode Dynamic Short-Term Traffic Flow Grey Prediction Model of High-Dimension Tensors
title_fullStr A Multimode Dynamic Short-Term Traffic Flow Grey Prediction Model of High-Dimension Tensors
title_full_unstemmed A Multimode Dynamic Short-Term Traffic Flow Grey Prediction Model of High-Dimension Tensors
title_short A Multimode Dynamic Short-Term Traffic Flow Grey Prediction Model of High-Dimension Tensors
title_sort multimode dynamic short term traffic flow grey prediction model of high dimension tensors
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/9162163
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AT xinpingxiao amultimodedynamicshorttermtrafficflowgreypredictionmodelofhighdimensiontensors
AT huimingduan multimodedynamicshorttermtrafficflowgreypredictionmodelofhighdimensiontensors
AT xinpingxiao multimodedynamicshorttermtrafficflowgreypredictionmodelofhighdimensiontensors