Sublinear Expectation Nonlinear Regression for the Financial Risk Measurement and Management

Financial risk is objective in modern financial activity. Management and measurement of the financial risks have become key abilities for financial institutions in competition and also make the major content in finance engineering and modern financial theories. It is important and necessary to model...

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Main Authors: Yunquan Song, Lu Lin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/398750
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author Yunquan Song
Lu Lin
author_facet Yunquan Song
Lu Lin
author_sort Yunquan Song
collection DOAJ
description Financial risk is objective in modern financial activity. Management and measurement of the financial risks have become key abilities for financial institutions in competition and also make the major content in finance engineering and modern financial theories. It is important and necessary to model and forecast financial risk. We know that nonlinear expectation, including sublinear expectation as its special case, is a new and original framework of probability theory and has potential applications in some scientific fields, specially in finance risk measure and management. Under the nonlinear expectation framework, however, the related statistical models and statistical inferences have not yet been well established. In this paper, a sublinear expectation nonlinear regression is defined, and its identifiability is obtained. Several parameter estimations and model predictions are suggested, and the asymptotic normality of the estimation and the mini-max property of the prediction are obtained. Finally, simulation study and real data analysis are carried out to illustrate the new model and methods. In this paper, the notions and methodological developments are nonclassical and original, and the proposed modeling and inference methods establish the foundations for nonlinear expectation statistics.
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spelling doaj-art-c28e00022e54433eb87994181f7c9b0e2025-02-03T05:54:22ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2013-01-01201310.1155/2013/398750398750Sublinear Expectation Nonlinear Regression for the Financial Risk Measurement and ManagementYunquan Song0Lu Lin1School of Mathematics, Shandong University, Jinan 250100, ChinaSchool of Mathematics, Shandong University, Jinan 250100, ChinaFinancial risk is objective in modern financial activity. Management and measurement of the financial risks have become key abilities for financial institutions in competition and also make the major content in finance engineering and modern financial theories. It is important and necessary to model and forecast financial risk. We know that nonlinear expectation, including sublinear expectation as its special case, is a new and original framework of probability theory and has potential applications in some scientific fields, specially in finance risk measure and management. Under the nonlinear expectation framework, however, the related statistical models and statistical inferences have not yet been well established. In this paper, a sublinear expectation nonlinear regression is defined, and its identifiability is obtained. Several parameter estimations and model predictions are suggested, and the asymptotic normality of the estimation and the mini-max property of the prediction are obtained. Finally, simulation study and real data analysis are carried out to illustrate the new model and methods. In this paper, the notions and methodological developments are nonclassical and original, and the proposed modeling and inference methods establish the foundations for nonlinear expectation statistics.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/398750
spellingShingle Yunquan Song
Lu Lin
Sublinear Expectation Nonlinear Regression for the Financial Risk Measurement and Management
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Sublinear Expectation Nonlinear Regression for the Financial Risk Measurement and Management
title_full Sublinear Expectation Nonlinear Regression for the Financial Risk Measurement and Management
title_fullStr Sublinear Expectation Nonlinear Regression for the Financial Risk Measurement and Management
title_full_unstemmed Sublinear Expectation Nonlinear Regression for the Financial Risk Measurement and Management
title_short Sublinear Expectation Nonlinear Regression for the Financial Risk Measurement and Management
title_sort sublinear expectation nonlinear regression for the financial risk measurement and management
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/398750
work_keys_str_mv AT yunquansong sublinearexpectationnonlinearregressionforthefinancialriskmeasurementandmanagement
AT lulin sublinearexpectationnonlinearregressionforthefinancialriskmeasurementandmanagement