Permanent aquifer storage loss from long-term groundwater withdrawal: A case study of subsidence in Bandung (Indonesia)

Study Region: In this study, the focus is on the Bandung groundwater basin in Indonesia, where industrial groundwater exploitation has led to declining groundwater levels and consequent land subsidence. Study Focus: A highly parameterized three-dimensional hydro-geomechanical model was developed for...

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Main Authors: Michelle Rygus, Marco Bianchi, Alessandro Novellino, Ekbal Hussain, Ahmad Taufiq, Steven Reinaldo Rusli, Dwi Sarah, Claudia Meisina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004786
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author Michelle Rygus
Marco Bianchi
Alessandro Novellino
Ekbal Hussain
Ahmad Taufiq
Steven Reinaldo Rusli
Dwi Sarah
Claudia Meisina
author_facet Michelle Rygus
Marco Bianchi
Alessandro Novellino
Ekbal Hussain
Ahmad Taufiq
Steven Reinaldo Rusli
Dwi Sarah
Claudia Meisina
author_sort Michelle Rygus
collection DOAJ
description Study Region: In this study, the focus is on the Bandung groundwater basin in Indonesia, where industrial groundwater exploitation has led to declining groundwater levels and consequent land subsidence. Study Focus: A highly parameterized three-dimensional hydro-geomechanical model was developed for the Bandung groundwater basin. The region faces challenges due to scarce hydrogeological data, necessitating the use of satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) techniques to supplement the parameterization of numerical groundwater models. By calibrating the model against InSAR-derived land displacement measurements, the study addressed the lack of detailed historical pumping data and estimated past groundwater extraction volumes. The model was also used to forecast future subsidence and evaluate aquifer storage changes until 2050 under various pumping scenarios. Our study is one of the first examples of using satellite data with geomechanical models to constrain groundwater extraction rates and emphasises the importance of remote sensing data in groundwater resource management, and the irreversible impact of unsustainable groundwater extraction, which has implications for long term water security. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: The study found that continued industrial groundwater extraction has resulted in permanent aquifer storage loss, with significant implications for long-term water security. Our simulated subsidence rates peaked at 16.4 cm/yr over the 1950–2020 period, with a maximum cumulative subsidence of 6.9 m. Continued industrial groundwater extraction, primarily from the deeper, confined aquifer, has resulted in permanent aquifer storage loss totalling 7.2 km3. Our model projections indicate that subsidence will persist, with continued industrial extraction potentially leading to up to 5.6 m of additional subsidence and 11.1 km3 of aquifer storage loss by 2050. Reducing industrial groundwater use by 30 % could slightly reduce further subsidence (5.0 m) and aquifer storage loss (9.2 km3) by 2050.
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spelling doaj-art-bf0c514da76940b1b9ce8d6a4dae5ea82025-01-22T05:42:08ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-02-0157102129Permanent aquifer storage loss from long-term groundwater withdrawal: A case study of subsidence in Bandung (Indonesia)Michelle Rygus0Marco Bianchi1Alessandro Novellino2Ekbal Hussain3Ahmad Taufiq4Steven Reinaldo Rusli5Dwi Sarah6Claudia Meisina7Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy; Corresponding author.British Geological Survey, Keyworth, Nottingham NG12 5GG, United KingdomBritish Geological Survey, Keyworth, Nottingham NG12 5GG, United KingdomBritish Geological Survey, Keyworth, Nottingham NG12 5GG, United KingdomCenter of Groundwater, Ministry of Public Work and Housing, Bandung, IndonesiaCivil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung, IndonesiaResearch Center for Geological Disaster, National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), Bandung, IndonesiaDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, ItalyStudy Region: In this study, the focus is on the Bandung groundwater basin in Indonesia, where industrial groundwater exploitation has led to declining groundwater levels and consequent land subsidence. Study Focus: A highly parameterized three-dimensional hydro-geomechanical model was developed for the Bandung groundwater basin. The region faces challenges due to scarce hydrogeological data, necessitating the use of satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) techniques to supplement the parameterization of numerical groundwater models. By calibrating the model against InSAR-derived land displacement measurements, the study addressed the lack of detailed historical pumping data and estimated past groundwater extraction volumes. The model was also used to forecast future subsidence and evaluate aquifer storage changes until 2050 under various pumping scenarios. Our study is one of the first examples of using satellite data with geomechanical models to constrain groundwater extraction rates and emphasises the importance of remote sensing data in groundwater resource management, and the irreversible impact of unsustainable groundwater extraction, which has implications for long term water security. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: The study found that continued industrial groundwater extraction has resulted in permanent aquifer storage loss, with significant implications for long-term water security. Our simulated subsidence rates peaked at 16.4 cm/yr over the 1950–2020 period, with a maximum cumulative subsidence of 6.9 m. Continued industrial groundwater extraction, primarily from the deeper, confined aquifer, has resulted in permanent aquifer storage loss totalling 7.2 km3. Our model projections indicate that subsidence will persist, with continued industrial extraction potentially leading to up to 5.6 m of additional subsidence and 11.1 km3 of aquifer storage loss by 2050. Reducing industrial groundwater use by 30 % could slightly reduce further subsidence (5.0 m) and aquifer storage loss (9.2 km3) by 2050.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004786Groundwater overexploitationNumerical modellingInSAR
spellingShingle Michelle Rygus
Marco Bianchi
Alessandro Novellino
Ekbal Hussain
Ahmad Taufiq
Steven Reinaldo Rusli
Dwi Sarah
Claudia Meisina
Permanent aquifer storage loss from long-term groundwater withdrawal: A case study of subsidence in Bandung (Indonesia)
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Groundwater overexploitation
Numerical modelling
InSAR
title Permanent aquifer storage loss from long-term groundwater withdrawal: A case study of subsidence in Bandung (Indonesia)
title_full Permanent aquifer storage loss from long-term groundwater withdrawal: A case study of subsidence in Bandung (Indonesia)
title_fullStr Permanent aquifer storage loss from long-term groundwater withdrawal: A case study of subsidence in Bandung (Indonesia)
title_full_unstemmed Permanent aquifer storage loss from long-term groundwater withdrawal: A case study of subsidence in Bandung (Indonesia)
title_short Permanent aquifer storage loss from long-term groundwater withdrawal: A case study of subsidence in Bandung (Indonesia)
title_sort permanent aquifer storage loss from long term groundwater withdrawal a case study of subsidence in bandung indonesia
topic Groundwater overexploitation
Numerical modelling
InSAR
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004786
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