Differentially Private Clustered Federated Load Prediction Based on the Louvain Algorithm

Load forecasting plays a fundamental role in the new type of power system. To address the data heterogeneity and security issues encountered in load forecasting for smart grids, this paper proposes a load-forecasting framework suitable for residential energy users, which allows users to train person...

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Main Authors: Tingzhe Pan, Jue Hou, Xin Jin, Chao Li, Xinlei Cai, Xiaodong Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Algorithms
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/18/1/32
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author Tingzhe Pan
Jue Hou
Xin Jin
Chao Li
Xinlei Cai
Xiaodong Zhou
author_facet Tingzhe Pan
Jue Hou
Xin Jin
Chao Li
Xinlei Cai
Xiaodong Zhou
author_sort Tingzhe Pan
collection DOAJ
description Load forecasting plays a fundamental role in the new type of power system. To address the data heterogeneity and security issues encountered in load forecasting for smart grids, this paper proposes a load-forecasting framework suitable for residential energy users, which allows users to train personalized forecasting models without sharing load data. First, the similarity of user load patterns is calculated under privacy protection. Second, a complex network is constructed, and a federated user clustering method is developed based on the Louvain algorithm, which divides users into multiple clusters based on load pattern similarity. Finally, a personalized and adaptive differentially private federated learning Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model for load forecasting is developed. A case study analysis shows that the proposed method can effectively protect user privacy and improve model prediction accuracy when dealing with heterogeneous data. The framework can train load-forecasting models with a fast convergence rate and better prediction performance than current mainstream federated learning algorithms.
format Article
id doaj-art-be6c7091ed974b45863dc24e0588bdb6
institution Kabale University
issn 1999-4893
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Algorithms
spelling doaj-art-be6c7091ed974b45863dc24e0588bdb62025-01-24T13:17:33ZengMDPI AGAlgorithms1999-48932025-01-011813210.3390/a18010032Differentially Private Clustered Federated Load Prediction Based on the Louvain AlgorithmTingzhe Pan0Jue Hou1Xin Jin2Chao Li3Xinlei Cai4Xiaodong Zhou5CSG Science Research Institute Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510640, ChinaPower Dispatching Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510060, ChinaCSG Science Research Institute Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510640, ChinaPower Dispatching Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510060, ChinaPower Dispatching Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510060, ChinaCSG Science Research Institute Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510640, ChinaLoad forecasting plays a fundamental role in the new type of power system. To address the data heterogeneity and security issues encountered in load forecasting for smart grids, this paper proposes a load-forecasting framework suitable for residential energy users, which allows users to train personalized forecasting models without sharing load data. First, the similarity of user load patterns is calculated under privacy protection. Second, a complex network is constructed, and a federated user clustering method is developed based on the Louvain algorithm, which divides users into multiple clusters based on load pattern similarity. Finally, a personalized and adaptive differentially private federated learning Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model for load forecasting is developed. A case study analysis shows that the proposed method can effectively protect user privacy and improve model prediction accuracy when dealing with heterogeneous data. The framework can train load-forecasting models with a fast convergence rate and better prediction performance than current mainstream federated learning algorithms.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/18/1/32federated learningload forecastingadaptive differential privacyLouvain algorithmclustered
spellingShingle Tingzhe Pan
Jue Hou
Xin Jin
Chao Li
Xinlei Cai
Xiaodong Zhou
Differentially Private Clustered Federated Load Prediction Based on the Louvain Algorithm
Algorithms
federated learning
load forecasting
adaptive differential privacy
Louvain algorithm
clustered
title Differentially Private Clustered Federated Load Prediction Based on the Louvain Algorithm
title_full Differentially Private Clustered Federated Load Prediction Based on the Louvain Algorithm
title_fullStr Differentially Private Clustered Federated Load Prediction Based on the Louvain Algorithm
title_full_unstemmed Differentially Private Clustered Federated Load Prediction Based on the Louvain Algorithm
title_short Differentially Private Clustered Federated Load Prediction Based on the Louvain Algorithm
title_sort differentially private clustered federated load prediction based on the louvain algorithm
topic federated learning
load forecasting
adaptive differential privacy
Louvain algorithm
clustered
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/18/1/32
work_keys_str_mv AT tingzhepan differentiallyprivateclusteredfederatedloadpredictionbasedonthelouvainalgorithm
AT juehou differentiallyprivateclusteredfederatedloadpredictionbasedonthelouvainalgorithm
AT xinjin differentiallyprivateclusteredfederatedloadpredictionbasedonthelouvainalgorithm
AT chaoli differentiallyprivateclusteredfederatedloadpredictionbasedonthelouvainalgorithm
AT xinleicai differentiallyprivateclusteredfederatedloadpredictionbasedonthelouvainalgorithm
AT xiaodongzhou differentiallyprivateclusteredfederatedloadpredictionbasedonthelouvainalgorithm