How Strongly Does German Residential Construction React to Rising Capital Market Interest Rates?

Abstract New housing construction in Germany is under heavy pressure. In addition to strongly rising material, labour and energy prices, the costs of financing construction have increased sharply since the start of the year. Due to high inflation in the Eurozone, capital and mortgage rates have incr...

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Main Authors: Norbert Hiller, Oliver Lerbs
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2022-09-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3272-7
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author Norbert Hiller
Oliver Lerbs
author_facet Norbert Hiller
Oliver Lerbs
author_sort Norbert Hiller
collection DOAJ
description Abstract New housing construction in Germany is under heavy pressure. In addition to strongly rising material, labour and energy prices, the costs of financing construction have increased sharply since the start of the year. Due to high inflation in the Eurozone, capital and mortgage rates have increased significantly. In 2021 already, new housing completions went down by four percent year-to-year. This article takes an empirical look at how German housing construction has reacted to past changes in capital market interest rates. We find that without taking appropriate measures, a heavy drop in housing construction is very likely. This central policy aim of the German government would be pushed into the distant future.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1613-978X
language deu
publishDate 2022-09-01
publisher Sciendo
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series Wirtschaftsdienst
spelling doaj-art-bdc85a58ee1c447094e3cee19d9458c42025-02-02T23:52:05ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst1613-978X2022-09-01102971672310.1007/s10273-022-3272-7How Strongly Does German Residential Construction React to Rising Capital Market Interest Rates?Norbert Hiller0Oliver Lerbs1Volkswirtschaftslehre, Kosten- und Leistungsrechnung sowie Wirtschaftlichkeitsrechnung, Hochschule für Polizei und öffentliche VerwaltungVolkswirtschaftslehre und Rechnungswesen, Hochschule für Polizei und öffentliche VerwaltungAbstract New housing construction in Germany is under heavy pressure. In addition to strongly rising material, labour and energy prices, the costs of financing construction have increased sharply since the start of the year. Due to high inflation in the Eurozone, capital and mortgage rates have increased significantly. In 2021 already, new housing completions went down by four percent year-to-year. This article takes an empirical look at how German housing construction has reacted to past changes in capital market interest rates. We find that without taking appropriate measures, a heavy drop in housing construction is very likely. This central policy aim of the German government would be pushed into the distant future.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3272-7
spellingShingle Norbert Hiller
Oliver Lerbs
How Strongly Does German Residential Construction React to Rising Capital Market Interest Rates?
Wirtschaftsdienst
title How Strongly Does German Residential Construction React to Rising Capital Market Interest Rates?
title_full How Strongly Does German Residential Construction React to Rising Capital Market Interest Rates?
title_fullStr How Strongly Does German Residential Construction React to Rising Capital Market Interest Rates?
title_full_unstemmed How Strongly Does German Residential Construction React to Rising Capital Market Interest Rates?
title_short How Strongly Does German Residential Construction React to Rising Capital Market Interest Rates?
title_sort how strongly does german residential construction react to rising capital market interest rates
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3272-7
work_keys_str_mv AT norberthiller howstronglydoesgermanresidentialconstructionreacttorisingcapitalmarketinterestrates
AT oliverlerbs howstronglydoesgermanresidentialconstructionreacttorisingcapitalmarketinterestrates