Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder

Abstract Bipolar disorder (BD) involves altered reward processing and decision-making, with inconsistencies across studies. Here, we integrated hierarchical Bayesian modelling with magnetoencephalography (MEG) to characterise maladaptive belief updating in this condition. First, we determined if pre...

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Main Authors: Marina Ivanova, Ksenia Germanova, Dmitry S. Petelin, Aynur Ragimova, Grigory Kopytin, Beatrice A. Volel, Vadim V. Nikulin, Maria Herrojo Ruiz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2025-01-01
Series:Translational Psychiatry
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-025-03225-6
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author Marina Ivanova
Ksenia Germanova
Dmitry S. Petelin
Aynur Ragimova
Grigory Kopytin
Beatrice A. Volel
Vadim V. Nikulin
Maria Herrojo Ruiz
author_facet Marina Ivanova
Ksenia Germanova
Dmitry S. Petelin
Aynur Ragimova
Grigory Kopytin
Beatrice A. Volel
Vadim V. Nikulin
Maria Herrojo Ruiz
author_sort Marina Ivanova
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Bipolar disorder (BD) involves altered reward processing and decision-making, with inconsistencies across studies. Here, we integrated hierarchical Bayesian modelling with magnetoencephalography (MEG) to characterise maladaptive belief updating in this condition. First, we determined if previously reported increased learning rates in BD stem from a heightened expectation of environmental changes. Additionally, we examined if this increased expectation speeds up belief updating in decision-making, associated with modulation of rhythmic neural activity within the prefrontal, orbitofrontal, and anterior cingulate cortex (PFC, OFC, ACC). Twenty-two euthymic BD and 27 healthy control (HC) participants completed a reward-based motor decision-making task in a volatile setting. Hierarchical Bayesian modelling revealed BD participants anticipated greater environmental volatility, resulting in a more stochastic mapping from beliefs to actions and paralleled by lower win rates and a reduced tendency to repeat rewarded actions than HC. Despite this, BD individuals adjusted their expectations of action-outcome contingencies more slowly, but both groups invigorated their actions similarly. On a neural level, while healthy individuals exhibited an alpha-beta suppression and gamma increase during belief updating, BD participants showed dampened effects, extending across the PFC, OFC, and ACC regions. This was accompanied by an abnormally increased beta-band directed information flow in BD. Overall, the results suggest euthymic BD individuals anticipate environmental change without adequately learning from it, contributing to maladaptive belief updating. Alterations in frequency-domain amplitude and functional connectivity within the PFC, OFC, and ACC during belief updating underlie the computational effects and could serve as potential indicators for predicting relapse in future research.
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spelling doaj-art-bd7f1280b781415faf810297aa8d238f2025-01-19T12:39:38ZengNature Publishing GroupTranslational Psychiatry2158-31882025-01-0115111210.1038/s41398-025-03225-6Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorderMarina Ivanova0Ksenia Germanova1Dmitry S. Petelin2Aynur Ragimova3Grigory Kopytin4Beatrice A. Volel5Vadim V. Nikulin6Maria Herrojo Ruiz7Institute for Cognitive Neuroscience, National Research University Higher School of EconomicsDepartment of Neurology, Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain SciencesFirst Moscow State Medical UniversityInstitute for Cognitive Neuroscience, National Research University Higher School of EconomicsInstitute for Cognitive Neuroscience, National Research University Higher School of EconomicsFirst Moscow State Medical UniversityDepartment of Neurology, Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain SciencesDepartment of Psychology, Goldsmiths University of LondonAbstract Bipolar disorder (BD) involves altered reward processing and decision-making, with inconsistencies across studies. Here, we integrated hierarchical Bayesian modelling with magnetoencephalography (MEG) to characterise maladaptive belief updating in this condition. First, we determined if previously reported increased learning rates in BD stem from a heightened expectation of environmental changes. Additionally, we examined if this increased expectation speeds up belief updating in decision-making, associated with modulation of rhythmic neural activity within the prefrontal, orbitofrontal, and anterior cingulate cortex (PFC, OFC, ACC). Twenty-two euthymic BD and 27 healthy control (HC) participants completed a reward-based motor decision-making task in a volatile setting. Hierarchical Bayesian modelling revealed BD participants anticipated greater environmental volatility, resulting in a more stochastic mapping from beliefs to actions and paralleled by lower win rates and a reduced tendency to repeat rewarded actions than HC. Despite this, BD individuals adjusted their expectations of action-outcome contingencies more slowly, but both groups invigorated their actions similarly. On a neural level, while healthy individuals exhibited an alpha-beta suppression and gamma increase during belief updating, BD participants showed dampened effects, extending across the PFC, OFC, and ACC regions. This was accompanied by an abnormally increased beta-band directed information flow in BD. Overall, the results suggest euthymic BD individuals anticipate environmental change without adequately learning from it, contributing to maladaptive belief updating. Alterations in frequency-domain amplitude and functional connectivity within the PFC, OFC, and ACC during belief updating underlie the computational effects and could serve as potential indicators for predicting relapse in future research.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-025-03225-6
spellingShingle Marina Ivanova
Ksenia Germanova
Dmitry S. Petelin
Aynur Ragimova
Grigory Kopytin
Beatrice A. Volel
Vadim V. Nikulin
Maria Herrojo Ruiz
Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder
Translational Psychiatry
title Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder
title_full Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder
title_fullStr Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder
title_full_unstemmed Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder
title_short Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder
title_sort frequency specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-025-03225-6
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