An inherently discrete–time $ SIS $ model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous population

In this paper, we introduce and analyze a discrete–time model of an epidemic spread in a heterogeneous population. As the heterogeneous population, we define a population in which we have two groups which differ in a risk of getting infected: a low–risk group and a high–risk group. We construct our...

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Main Author: Marcin Choiński
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2024-12-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024340
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author Marcin Choiński
author_facet Marcin Choiński
author_sort Marcin Choiński
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we introduce and analyze a discrete–time model of an epidemic spread in a heterogeneous population. As the heterogeneous population, we define a population in which we have two groups which differ in a risk of getting infected: a low–risk group and a high–risk group. We construct our model without discretization of its continuous–time counterpart, which is not a common approach. We indicate functions that reflect the probability of remaining healthy, which are based on the mass action law. Additionally, we discuss the existence and local stability of the stability states that appear in the system. Moreover, we provide conditions for their global stability. Some of the results are expressed with the use of the basic reproduction number $ \mathcal{R}_0 $. The novelty of our paper lies in assuming different values of every coefficient that describe a given process in each subpopulation. Thanks to that, we obtain the pure population's heterogeneity. Our results are in a line with expectations – the disease free stationary state is locally stable for $ \mathcal{R}_0 < 1 $ and loses its stability after crossing $ \mathcal{R}_0 = 1 $. We supplement our results with a numerical simulation that concerns the real case of a tuberculosis epidemic in Poland.
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spelling doaj-art-bc82387188bd43e389b950c47c2d78bd2025-01-23T05:05:30ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182024-12-0121127740775910.3934/mbe.2024340An inherently discrete–time $ SIS $ model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous populationMarcin Choiński0Institute of of Information Technology, Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW, Nowoursynowska 159 Street, building 34, 02-776 Warsaw, PolandIn this paper, we introduce and analyze a discrete–time model of an epidemic spread in a heterogeneous population. As the heterogeneous population, we define a population in which we have two groups which differ in a risk of getting infected: a low–risk group and a high–risk group. We construct our model without discretization of its continuous–time counterpart, which is not a common approach. We indicate functions that reflect the probability of remaining healthy, which are based on the mass action law. Additionally, we discuss the existence and local stability of the stability states that appear in the system. Moreover, we provide conditions for their global stability. Some of the results are expressed with the use of the basic reproduction number $ \mathcal{R}_0 $. The novelty of our paper lies in assuming different values of every coefficient that describe a given process in each subpopulation. Thanks to that, we obtain the pure population's heterogeneity. Our results are in a line with expectations – the disease free stationary state is locally stable for $ \mathcal{R}_0 < 1 $ and loses its stability after crossing $ \mathcal{R}_0 = 1 $. We supplement our results with a numerical simulation that concerns the real case of a tuberculosis epidemic in Poland.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024340discrete–time systems$ sis $ modellocal stabilityglobal stabilitypopulation heterogeneitydynamical systems
spellingShingle Marcin Choiński
An inherently discrete–time $ SIS $ model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous population
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
discrete–time systems
$ sis $ model
local stability
global stability
population heterogeneity
dynamical systems
title An inherently discrete–time $ SIS $ model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous population
title_full An inherently discrete–time $ SIS $ model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous population
title_fullStr An inherently discrete–time $ SIS $ model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous population
title_full_unstemmed An inherently discrete–time $ SIS $ model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous population
title_short An inherently discrete–time $ SIS $ model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous population
title_sort inherently discrete time sis model based on the mass action law for a heterogeneous population
topic discrete–time systems
$ sis $ model
local stability
global stability
population heterogeneity
dynamical systems
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2024340
work_keys_str_mv AT marcinchoinski aninherentlydiscretetimesismodelbasedonthemassactionlawforaheterogeneouspopulation
AT marcinchoinski inherentlydiscretetimesismodelbasedonthemassactionlawforaheterogeneouspopulation