Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling
The article examines the agroclimatic conditions for influencing sunflower yield formation under the influence of climate change according to the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Based on a water-heat regime and sunflower productivity formation model, calculations and a comparative analysis of sunflower...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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EDP Sciences
2025-01-01
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| Series: | BIO Web of Conferences |
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| Online Access: | https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2025/02/bioconf_mblc2024_01006.pdf |
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| _version_ | 1832539707674722304 |
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| author | Zhygailo Taras Zhygailo Olena Akramova Ziyoda |
| author_facet | Zhygailo Taras Zhygailo Olena Akramova Ziyoda |
| author_sort | Zhygailo Taras |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article examines the agroclimatic conditions for influencing sunflower yield formation under the influence of climate change according to the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Based on a water-heat regime and sunflower productivity formation model, calculations and a comparative analysis of sunflower and seed yields were conducted for the climate periods 1986-2005 and 2031-2050. Under both scenarios, the expected climate and weather conditions are expected to be more favourable for sunflower cultivation in the Eastern Forest-Steppe of Ukraine. The highest risk of sunflower seed yield shortfalls in certain years is anticipated in the Southern Steppe of Ukraine, with the most significant losses expected under the RCP4.5 scenario. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-b9d2277f54904e00a7afd404996437ff |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2117-4458 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | EDP Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BIO Web of Conferences |
| spelling | doaj-art-b9d2277f54904e00a7afd404996437ff2025-02-05T10:42:41ZengEDP SciencesBIO Web of Conferences2117-44582025-01-011510100610.1051/bioconf/202515101006bioconf_mblc2024_01006Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modelingZhygailo Taras0Zhygailo Olena1Akramova Ziyoda2Institute of Climate-Smart Agriculture of the National Academy of Agrarian Sciences of UkraineOdesa National University named after I.I. MechnikovaAlfraganus UniversityThe article examines the agroclimatic conditions for influencing sunflower yield formation under the influence of climate change according to the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Based on a water-heat regime and sunflower productivity formation model, calculations and a comparative analysis of sunflower and seed yields were conducted for the climate periods 1986-2005 and 2031-2050. Under both scenarios, the expected climate and weather conditions are expected to be more favourable for sunflower cultivation in the Eastern Forest-Steppe of Ukraine. The highest risk of sunflower seed yield shortfalls in certain years is anticipated in the Southern Steppe of Ukraine, with the most significant losses expected under the RCP4.5 scenario.https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2025/02/bioconf_mblc2024_01006.pdfsunflowergrowing seasonclimate changeagro-climatic conditionsyield shortfall risks |
| spellingShingle | Zhygailo Taras Zhygailo Olena Akramova Ziyoda Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling BIO Web of Conferences sunflower growing season climate change agro-climatic conditions yield shortfall risks |
| title | Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling |
| title_full | Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling |
| title_fullStr | Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling |
| title_short | Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling |
| title_sort | assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling |
| topic | sunflower growing season climate change agro-climatic conditions yield shortfall risks |
| url | https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2025/02/bioconf_mblc2024_01006.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT zhygailotaras assessingtheimpactofclimatechangeonsunfloweryieldsusingmathematicalmodeling AT zhygailoolena assessingtheimpactofclimatechangeonsunfloweryieldsusingmathematicalmodeling AT akramovaziyoda assessingtheimpactofclimatechangeonsunfloweryieldsusingmathematicalmodeling |