Evaluation of Provincial Economic Resilience in China Based on the TOPSIS-XGBoost-SHAP Model

The aim of this research is to propose a framework for measuring and analysing China’s economic resilience based on the XGBoost machine learning algorithm, using Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithm, extreme gradient-boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, and TOPSIS method to measure China’s economic resilie...

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Main Author: Zhan Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Journal of Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/6652800
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author Zhan Wu
author_facet Zhan Wu
author_sort Zhan Wu
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this research is to propose a framework for measuring and analysing China’s economic resilience based on the XGBoost machine learning algorithm, using Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithm, extreme gradient-boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, and TOPSIS method to measure China’s economic resilience from 2007 to 2021. The nonlinear effects of its key drivers are also analysed in conjunction with the SHAP explainable model to explore the path of China’s economic resilience enhancement. The results show that the level of China’s economic resilience is improving, but the overall level is low; R&D expenditure and the number of patents granted are important factors affecting China’s economic resilience with a significant positive relationship. The BO-XGBoost model outperforms the benchmark machine learning algorithm and can provide stable technical support and scientific decision-making basis for China’s economic resilience measurement analysis and high-quality economic development.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2314-4785
language English
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-b953093eda2c4543aeddceaccc81484a2025-02-03T05:57:01ZengWileyJournal of Mathematics2314-47852023-01-01202310.1155/2023/6652800Evaluation of Provincial Economic Resilience in China Based on the TOPSIS-XGBoost-SHAP ModelZhan Wu0School of Economics and ManagementThe aim of this research is to propose a framework for measuring and analysing China’s economic resilience based on the XGBoost machine learning algorithm, using Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithm, extreme gradient-boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, and TOPSIS method to measure China’s economic resilience from 2007 to 2021. The nonlinear effects of its key drivers are also analysed in conjunction with the SHAP explainable model to explore the path of China’s economic resilience enhancement. The results show that the level of China’s economic resilience is improving, but the overall level is low; R&D expenditure and the number of patents granted are important factors affecting China’s economic resilience with a significant positive relationship. The BO-XGBoost model outperforms the benchmark machine learning algorithm and can provide stable technical support and scientific decision-making basis for China’s economic resilience measurement analysis and high-quality economic development.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/6652800
spellingShingle Zhan Wu
Evaluation of Provincial Economic Resilience in China Based on the TOPSIS-XGBoost-SHAP Model
Journal of Mathematics
title Evaluation of Provincial Economic Resilience in China Based on the TOPSIS-XGBoost-SHAP Model
title_full Evaluation of Provincial Economic Resilience in China Based on the TOPSIS-XGBoost-SHAP Model
title_fullStr Evaluation of Provincial Economic Resilience in China Based on the TOPSIS-XGBoost-SHAP Model
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of Provincial Economic Resilience in China Based on the TOPSIS-XGBoost-SHAP Model
title_short Evaluation of Provincial Economic Resilience in China Based on the TOPSIS-XGBoost-SHAP Model
title_sort evaluation of provincial economic resilience in china based on the topsis xgboost shap model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/6652800
work_keys_str_mv AT zhanwu evaluationofprovincialeconomicresilienceinchinabasedonthetopsisxgboostshapmodel