A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan
The impact of COVID-19 on human life has been catastrophic. It is the greatest crisis that humankind has ever faced. It already caused over 21 million confirmed cases and 758,000 deaths as of July 2021. Modeling frameworks, underlying assumptions, available datasets, and the region/time frame being...
Saved in:
Main Authors: | , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications
2024-04-01
|
Series: | Indian Journal of Public Health |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/ijph.ijph_1742_22 |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
_version_ | 1832586814372708352 |
---|---|
author | Meena Malik Chander Prabha Punit Soni Khushboo Bhardwaj Anshu Arora |
author_facet | Meena Malik Chander Prabha Punit Soni Khushboo Bhardwaj Anshu Arora |
author_sort | Meena Malik |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The impact of COVID-19 on human life has been catastrophic. It is the greatest crisis that humankind has ever faced. It already caused over 21 million confirmed cases and 758,000 deaths as of July 2021. Modeling frameworks, underlying assumptions, available datasets, and the region/time frame being modeled, predictions are possible, but the projections might vary widely, making it difficult to rely on one model universally way. This article presents the prediction and forecasting technique for COVID-19, using the widely adopted susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered (SEIR) model. The modified SEIR model is presented to model the pandemic to represent an open system where the mass movement of the population is considered. Spreading patterns of the pandemic over time, in actual and as per the model, are compared to check the authenticity of the model. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-b8dc1351bb174d1194d582f302a78802 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 0019-557X 2229-7693 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-04-01 |
publisher | Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications |
record_format | Article |
series | Indian Journal of Public Health |
spelling | doaj-art-b8dc1351bb174d1194d582f302a788022025-01-25T05:18:32ZengWolters Kluwer Medknow PublicationsIndian Journal of Public Health0019-557X2229-76932024-04-0168228428610.4103/ijph.ijph_1742_22A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in RajasthanMeena MalikChander PrabhaPunit SoniKhushboo BhardwajAnshu AroraThe impact of COVID-19 on human life has been catastrophic. It is the greatest crisis that humankind has ever faced. It already caused over 21 million confirmed cases and 758,000 deaths as of July 2021. Modeling frameworks, underlying assumptions, available datasets, and the region/time frame being modeled, predictions are possible, but the projections might vary widely, making it difficult to rely on one model universally way. This article presents the prediction and forecasting technique for COVID-19, using the widely adopted susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered (SEIR) model. The modified SEIR model is presented to model the pandemic to represent an open system where the mass movement of the population is considered. Spreading patterns of the pandemic over time, in actual and as per the model, are compared to check the authenticity of the model.https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/ijph.ijph_1742_22covid-19hypothesis testingsurvey modelsusceptibleexposedinfectedand recovered model |
spellingShingle | Meena Malik Chander Prabha Punit Soni Khushboo Bhardwaj Anshu Arora A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan Indian Journal of Public Health covid-19 hypothesis testing survey model susceptible exposed infected and recovered model |
title | A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan |
title_full | A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan |
title_fullStr | A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan |
title_full_unstemmed | A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan |
title_short | A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan |
title_sort | novel extended susceptible exposed infected and recovered model with surveys for analysis of covid 19 pandemic in rajasthan |
topic | covid-19 hypothesis testing survey model susceptible exposed infected and recovered model |
url | https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/ijph.ijph_1742_22 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT meenamalik anovelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT chanderprabha anovelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT punitsoni anovelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT khushboobhardwaj anovelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT anshuarora anovelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT meenamalik novelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT chanderprabha novelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT punitsoni novelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT khushboobhardwaj novelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan AT anshuarora novelextendedsusceptibleexposedinfectedandrecoveredmodelwithsurveysforanalysisofcovid19pandemicinrajasthan |