A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan

The impact of COVID-19 on human life has been catastrophic. It is the greatest crisis that humankind has ever faced. It already caused over 21 million confirmed cases and 758,000 deaths as of July 2021. Modeling frameworks, underlying assumptions, available datasets, and the region/time frame being...

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Main Authors: Meena Malik, Chander Prabha, Punit Soni, Khushboo Bhardwaj, Anshu Arora
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications 2024-04-01
Series:Indian Journal of Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/ijph.ijph_1742_22
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author Meena Malik
Chander Prabha
Punit Soni
Khushboo Bhardwaj
Anshu Arora
author_facet Meena Malik
Chander Prabha
Punit Soni
Khushboo Bhardwaj
Anshu Arora
author_sort Meena Malik
collection DOAJ
description The impact of COVID-19 on human life has been catastrophic. It is the greatest crisis that humankind has ever faced. It already caused over 21 million confirmed cases and 758,000 deaths as of July 2021. Modeling frameworks, underlying assumptions, available datasets, and the region/time frame being modeled, predictions are possible, but the projections might vary widely, making it difficult to rely on one model universally way. This article presents the prediction and forecasting technique for COVID-19, using the widely adopted susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered (SEIR) model. The modified SEIR model is presented to model the pandemic to represent an open system where the mass movement of the population is considered. Spreading patterns of the pandemic over time, in actual and as per the model, are compared to check the authenticity of the model.
format Article
id doaj-art-b8dc1351bb174d1194d582f302a78802
institution Kabale University
issn 0019-557X
2229-7693
language English
publishDate 2024-04-01
publisher Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications
record_format Article
series Indian Journal of Public Health
spelling doaj-art-b8dc1351bb174d1194d582f302a788022025-01-25T05:18:32ZengWolters Kluwer Medknow PublicationsIndian Journal of Public Health0019-557X2229-76932024-04-0168228428610.4103/ijph.ijph_1742_22A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in RajasthanMeena MalikChander PrabhaPunit SoniKhushboo BhardwajAnshu AroraThe impact of COVID-19 on human life has been catastrophic. It is the greatest crisis that humankind has ever faced. It already caused over 21 million confirmed cases and 758,000 deaths as of July 2021. Modeling frameworks, underlying assumptions, available datasets, and the region/time frame being modeled, predictions are possible, but the projections might vary widely, making it difficult to rely on one model universally way. This article presents the prediction and forecasting technique for COVID-19, using the widely adopted susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered (SEIR) model. The modified SEIR model is presented to model the pandemic to represent an open system where the mass movement of the population is considered. Spreading patterns of the pandemic over time, in actual and as per the model, are compared to check the authenticity of the model.https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/ijph.ijph_1742_22covid-19hypothesis testingsurvey modelsusceptibleexposedinfectedand recovered model
spellingShingle Meena Malik
Chander Prabha
Punit Soni
Khushboo Bhardwaj
Anshu Arora
A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan
Indian Journal of Public Health
covid-19
hypothesis testing
survey model
susceptible
exposed
infected
and recovered model
title A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan
title_full A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan
title_fullStr A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan
title_short A Novel Extended Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered Model with Surveys for Analysis of COVID-19 Pandemic in Rajasthan
title_sort novel extended susceptible exposed infected and recovered model with surveys for analysis of covid 19 pandemic in rajasthan
topic covid-19
hypothesis testing
survey model
susceptible
exposed
infected
and recovered model
url https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/ijph.ijph_1742_22
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