Out of policymaker’s sight: the role of banks’ liquidity preference in credit supply in Brazil

In modern, sophisticated banking systems, in addition to endogenously creating money, banks have the ability to innovate and stretch constraints on their portfolio to potentially raise profits. They fulfill demand for credit according to their liquidity preference and expectations of profits. On the...

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Main Authors: Fernanda Ultremare, Olívia Bullio Mattos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Association Recherche & Régulation 2020-06-01
Series:Revue de la Régulation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.openedition.org/regulation/16602
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author Fernanda Ultremare
Olívia Bullio Mattos
author_facet Fernanda Ultremare
Olívia Bullio Mattos
author_sort Fernanda Ultremare
collection DOAJ
description In modern, sophisticated banking systems, in addition to endogenously creating money, banks have the ability to innovate and stretch constraints on their portfolio to potentially raise profits. They fulfill demand for credit according to their liquidity preference and expectations of profits. On the other hand, the monetary authority influences credit supply by changing the availability of liquid assets compared to other assets through monetary policy instruments. By managing liquidity in the reserves market, central banks modify the price of access to short-term liquidity – the interest rate – and, thereby, cause changes in the yield curve and transform banks’ propensity to expand credit. Even though determining credit supply is a difficult task since it depends on expectations and cannot be calculated in advance, this paper aims to determine a credit supply function for Brazil. Our empirical strategy was to estimate a dynamic panel data model on a large cross-section bank-level dataset from the Brazilian Central Bank using balance sheet information from the fifty largest banks operating in the country from 1999 to 2016. Credit outstanding was matched with time-varying indicators that were prepared using data from banks’ portfolios and then combined with macroeconomic variables. We use a Post-Keynesian framework to analyze the relation between credit supply and the balance sheet composition of banks. Our findings suggest that variations in banks’ liquidity preference which are reflected on their changes in flexibility and leverage indicators have a significant impact on credit supply in Brazil.JEL codes: E51, E52, E47
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spelling doaj-art-b68bd3785aa44ce19563867ecb5fda3d2025-01-30T14:27:28ZengAssociation Recherche & RégulationRevue de la Régulation1957-77962020-06-012710.4000/regulation.16602Out of policymaker’s sight: the role of banks’ liquidity preference in credit supply in BrazilFernanda UltremareOlívia Bullio MattosIn modern, sophisticated banking systems, in addition to endogenously creating money, banks have the ability to innovate and stretch constraints on their portfolio to potentially raise profits. They fulfill demand for credit according to their liquidity preference and expectations of profits. On the other hand, the monetary authority influences credit supply by changing the availability of liquid assets compared to other assets through monetary policy instruments. By managing liquidity in the reserves market, central banks modify the price of access to short-term liquidity – the interest rate – and, thereby, cause changes in the yield curve and transform banks’ propensity to expand credit. Even though determining credit supply is a difficult task since it depends on expectations and cannot be calculated in advance, this paper aims to determine a credit supply function for Brazil. Our empirical strategy was to estimate a dynamic panel data model on a large cross-section bank-level dataset from the Brazilian Central Bank using balance sheet information from the fifty largest banks operating in the country from 1999 to 2016. Credit outstanding was matched with time-varying indicators that were prepared using data from banks’ portfolios and then combined with macroeconomic variables. We use a Post-Keynesian framework to analyze the relation between credit supply and the balance sheet composition of banks. Our findings suggest that variations in banks’ liquidity preference which are reflected on their changes in flexibility and leverage indicators have a significant impact on credit supply in Brazil.JEL codes: E51, E52, E47https://journals.openedition.org/regulation/16602bankscreditmonetary policyliquidity preferenceGMM
spellingShingle Fernanda Ultremare
Olívia Bullio Mattos
Out of policymaker’s sight: the role of banks’ liquidity preference in credit supply in Brazil
Revue de la Régulation
banks
credit
monetary policy
liquidity preference
GMM
title Out of policymaker’s sight: the role of banks’ liquidity preference in credit supply in Brazil
title_full Out of policymaker’s sight: the role of banks’ liquidity preference in credit supply in Brazil
title_fullStr Out of policymaker’s sight: the role of banks’ liquidity preference in credit supply in Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Out of policymaker’s sight: the role of banks’ liquidity preference in credit supply in Brazil
title_short Out of policymaker’s sight: the role of banks’ liquidity preference in credit supply in Brazil
title_sort out of policymaker s sight the role of banks liquidity preference in credit supply in brazil
topic banks
credit
monetary policy
liquidity preference
GMM
url https://journals.openedition.org/regulation/16602
work_keys_str_mv AT fernandaultremare outofpolicymakerssighttheroleofbanksliquiditypreferenceincreditsupplyinbrazil
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